Trader consensus on Polymarket favors below 40mm total precipitation in Seoul for April at a 45% implied probability, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing minimal rainfall accumulation through mid-month amid persistent high-pressure systems and dry weather advisories. Historical April averages hover around 65mm across roughly 8 rainy days, but scattered light showers early in the month—such as 5-10mm around April 2—have totaled far less than half the norm so far, with no major fronts materializing. KMA short-range forecasts point to stable conditions limiting further rain chances, though model ensembles note uncertainty from potential late-month instability. Watch for daily KMA updates and extended outlooks through April 30 resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月のソウルの降水量は?
4月のソウルの降水量は?
40mm未満 59%
65〜70mm 11%
75mm以上 9%
55〜60mm 8%
$16,707 Vol.
$16,707 Vol.
40mm未満
49%
40〜45mm
13%
45〜50mm
8%
50〜55mm
10%
55〜60mm
8%
60〜65mm
5%
65〜70mm
16%
70〜75mm
2%
75mm以上
9%
40mm未満 59%
65〜70mm 11%
75mm以上 9%
55〜60mm 8%
$16,707 Vol.
$16,707 Vol.
40mm未満
49%
40〜45mm
13%
45〜50mm
8%
50〜55mm
10%
55〜60mm
8%
60〜65mm
5%
65〜70mm
16%
70〜75mm
2%
75mm以上
9%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors below 40mm total precipitation in Seoul for April at a 45% implied probability, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing minimal rainfall accumulation through mid-month amid persistent high-pressure systems and dry weather advisories. Historical April averages hover around 65mm across roughly 8 rainy days, but scattered light showers early in the month—such as 5-10mm around April 2—have totaled far less than half the norm so far, with no major fronts materializing. KMA short-range forecasts point to stable conditions limiting further rain chances, though model ensembles note uncertainty from potential late-month instability. Watch for daily KMA updates and extended outlooks through April 30 resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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