The NFL's June 2026 decision to decline a supplemental draft after denying Texas Tech quarterback Brendan Sorsby's eligibility application aligns with the league's infrequent use of the process, last held with selections in 2019. Trader sentiment reflects this history of discretion—the league exercises sole authority and typically proceeds only with approved prospects—while noting the possibility of late filings or appeals that could still prompt a session before the regular draft cycle advances. Recent form shows no players drafted via this route in multiple seasons, creating competitive balance around whether isolated eligibility issues might force a reversal. Any confirmed new applicants or policy shift before resolution timing would likely move implied probabilities, whereas sustained absence of activity reinforces the current lean toward no draft occurring.