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icon for SAVE Actが法律になるのは... ？
政治·投票者ID

SAVE Actが法律になるのは... ？

icon for SAVE Actが法律になるのは... ？
政治·投票者ID

SAVE Actが法律になるのは... ？

$540,026 Vol.

2026/04/29
Polymarket

$540,026 Vol.

Polymarket

12月31日

$223,447 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any bill, measure, or resolution that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition for registering to vote or to vote in U.S. federal elections is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law, or is otherwise enacted into U.S. federal law, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Examples of qualifying legislation include H.R. 22, the “SAVE Act,” and H.R. 7296, the “SAVE America Act.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The SAVE Act and related SAVE America Act provisions, which would mandate documentary proof of citizenship for voter registration nationwide, passed the House multiple times in 2025 and 2026 but have repeatedly stalled in the Senate. Republican leadership has pursued inclusion through the National Defense Authorization Act, budget reconciliation incentives, and other vehicles, yet the chamber's 60-vote filibuster threshold and limited cross-aisle support have blocked advancement. With Republicans holding a narrow majority ahead of the November 2026 midterms, traders see low implied probabilities for enactment by year-end due to procedural hurdles and Senate resistance. Key upcoming catalysts include final budget negotiations and any lame-duck session activity before the new Congress convenes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any bill, measure, or resolution that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition for registering to vote or to vote in U.S. federal elections is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law, or is otherwise enacted into U.S. federal law, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Examples of qualifying legislation include H.R. 22, the “SAVE Act,” and H.R. 7296, the “SAVE America Act.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$540,026
終了日
2026/04/30
マーケット開始日
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any bill, measure, or resolution that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition for registering to vote or to vote in U.S. federal elections is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law, or is otherwise enacted into U.S. federal law, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Examples of qualifying legislation include H.R. 22, the “SAVE Act,” and H.R. 7296, the “SAVE America Act.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any bill, measure, or resolution that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition for registering to vote or to vote in U.S. federal elections is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law, or is otherwise enacted into U.S. federal law, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Examples of qualifying legislation include H.R. 22, the “SAVE Act,” and H.R. 7296, the “SAVE America Act.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The SAVE Act and related SAVE America Act provisions, which would mandate documentary proof of citizenship for voter registration nationwide, passed the House multiple times in 2025 and 2026 but have repeatedly stalled in the Senate. Republican leadership has pursued inclusion through the National Defense Authorization Act, budget reconciliation incentives, and other vehicles, yet the chamber's 60-vote filibuster threshold and limited cross-aisle support have blocked advancement. With Republicans holding a narrow majority ahead of the November 2026 midterms, traders see low implied probabilities for enactment by year-end due to procedural hurdles and Senate resistance. Key upcoming catalysts include final budget negotiations and any lame-duck session activity before the new Congress convenes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any bill, measure, or resolution that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition for registering to vote or to vote in U.S. federal elections is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law, or is otherwise enacted into U.S. federal law, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Examples of qualifying legislation include H.R. 22, the “SAVE Act,” and H.R. 7296, the “SAVE America Act.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$540,026
終了日
2026/04/30
マーケット開始日
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any bill, measure, or resolution that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition for registering to vote or to vote in U.S. federal elections is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law, or is otherwise enacted into U.S. federal law, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Examples of qualifying legislation include H.R. 22, the “SAVE Act,” and H.R. 7296, the “SAVE America Act.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

関連

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H.R. 22（SAVE法案）は2026年に法律として署名されましたか？

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はい
icon for DEFIANCE法は今年成立しますか？

DEFIANCE法は今年成立しますか？

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icon for 2026年に明確化法（H.R.3633）が法律として署名されましたか？

2026年に明確化法（H.R.3633）が法律として署名されましたか？

22%
はい

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よくある質問

「SAVE Actが法律になるのは... ？」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で14%、次いで「4月30日」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、14¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に14%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「SAVE Actが法律になるのは... ？」は$540Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 10, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「SAVE Actが法律になるのは... ？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「SAVE Actが法律になるのは... ？」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日」で14%であり、市場がこの結果に14%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「4月30日」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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