Ahmed Aliyu, the incumbent APC governor of Sokoto State, holds an 88% implied probability in the 2027 gubernatorial election market, driven by his May 2026 consensus affirmation as the party nominee and ongoing implementation of infrastructure and security measures under a 9-point agenda. This positioning benefits from APC organizational unity and recent defections that have weakened opposition parties, including the ADC and PDP, limiting coordinated challenges from candidates such as Manir Muhammad Dan Iya or Mustapha Shehu. The February 2027 INEC vote timeline and broader field of lower-probability entrants underscore incumbency advantages and party cohesion as central factors shaping current trader assessments ahead of primary season developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日アフメド・アリユ 90%
マニール・ムハンマド・ダン・イヤ 7%
ムスタファ・シェフ 3.0%
アブドゥルラヒム・チンド <1%
新規
新規
2027/02/06
アフメド・アリユ
90%
マニール・ムハンマド・ダン・イヤ
7%
ムスタファ・シェフ
3%
アブドゥルラヒム・チンド
<1%
アフメド・アリユ 90%
マニール・ムハンマド・ダン・イヤ 7%
ムスタファ・シェフ 3.0%
アブドゥルラヒム・チンド <1%
新規
新規
2027/02/06
アフメド・アリユ
$2,148 Vol.
90%
マニール・ムハンマド・ダン・イヤ
$396 Vol.
7%
ムスタファ・シェフ
$428 Vol.
3%
アブドゥルラヒム・チンド
$246 Vol.
<1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Ahmed Aliyu, the incumbent APC governor of Sokoto State, holds an 88% implied probability in the 2027 gubernatorial election market, driven by his May 2026 consensus affirmation as the party nominee and ongoing implementation of infrastructure and security measures under a 9-point agenda. This positioning benefits from APC organizational unity and recent defections that have weakened opposition parties, including the ADC and PDP, limiting coordinated challenges from candidates such as Manir Muhammad Dan Iya or Mustapha Shehu. The February 2027 INEC vote timeline and broader field of lower-probability entrants underscore incumbency advantages and party cohesion as central factors shaping current trader assessments ahead of primary season developments.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
マーケット開始日： Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ET
音量
$3,218終了日
2027/02/06マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Ahmed Aliyu, the incumbent APC governor of Sokoto State, holds an 88% implied probability in the 2027 gubernatorial election market, driven by his May 2026 consensus affirmation as the party nominee and ongoing implementation of infrastructure and security measures under a 9-point agenda. This positioning benefits from APC organizational unity and recent defections that have weakened opposition parties, including the ADC and PDP, limiting coordinated challenges from candidates such as Manir Muhammad Dan Iya or Mustapha Shehu. The February 2027 INEC vote timeline and broader field of lower-probability entrants underscore incumbency advantages and party cohesion as central factors shaping current trader assessments ahead of primary season developments.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
音量
$3,218終了日
2027/02/06マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ahmed Aliyu, the incumbent APC governor of Sokoto State, holds an 88% implied probability in the 2027 gubernatorial election market, driven by his May 2026 consensus affirmation as the party nominee and ongoing implementation of infrastructure and security measures under a 9-point agenda. This positioning benefits from APC organizational unity and recent defections that have weakened opposition parties, including the ADC and PDP, limiting coordinated challenges from candidates such as Manir Muhammad Dan Iya or Mustapha Shehu. The February 2027 INEC vote timeline and broader field of lower-probability entrants underscore incumbency advantages and party cohesion as central factors shaping current trader assessments ahead of primary season developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問