Skip to main content
Market icon
エコノミー·南アフリカ

5月の南アフリカ準備銀行の決定？

Market icon
エコノミー·南アフリカ

5月の南アフリカ準備銀行の決定？

5月 28

5月 28

据え置き 70%

引き上げ 31.1%

引き下げ 5.9%

Polymarket
新規

据え置き 70%

引き上げ 31.1%

引き下げ 5.9%

Polymarket
新規

引き下げ

$1,311 Vol.

6%

据え置き

$2,441 Vol.

70%

引き上げ

$2,201 Vol.

26%

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 70% implied probability of no change to the South African Reserve Bank's (SARB) 6.75% repo rate at the May 28 Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, reflecting February 2026 CPI easing to 3.0% year-on-year—within the 3-6% target—and the MPC's unanimous March 26 hold amid global uncertainties. Hawkish positioning for a 26% hike chance stems from forward-rate agreements shifting to price three increases by early 2027, fueled by anticipated April inflation spikes and analysts like Morgan Stanley forecasting a potential 50 basis point move due to overshooting risks. A 6% cut probability lingers on sluggish 1.6% GDP growth forecasts and high unemployment, but upside inflation pressures dominate sentiment ahead of upcoming CPI releases.

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$5,953
終了日
2026/05/28
マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 70% implied probability of no change to the South African Reserve Bank's (SARB) 6.75% repo rate at the May 28 Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, reflecting February 2026 CPI easing to 3.0% year-on-year—within the 3-6% target—and the MPC's unanimous March 26 hold amid global uncertainties. Hawkish positioning for a 26% hike chance stems from forward-rate agreements shifting to price three increases by early 2027, fueled by anticipated April inflation spikes and analysts like Morgan Stanley forecasting a potential 50 basis point move due to overshooting risks. A 6% cut probability lingers on sluggish 1.6% GDP growth forecasts and high unemployment, but upside inflation pressures dominate sentiment ahead of upcoming CPI releases.

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$5,953
終了日
2026/05/28
マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「5月の南アフリカ準備銀行の決定？」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「据え置き」で70%、次いで「引き上げ」が26%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、70¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に70%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「5月の南アフリカ準備銀行の決定？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Jan 31, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「5月の南アフリカ準備銀行の決定？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「5月の南アフリカ準備銀行の決定？」の現在のフロントランナーは「据え置き」で70%であり、市場がこの結果に70%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「引き上げ」で26%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「5月の南アフリカ準備銀行の決定？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。