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icon for 20 26年に技術部門のレイオフは増えるのか減るのか?

20 26年に技術部門のレイオフは増えるのか減るのか?

icon for 20 26年に技術部門のレイオフは増えるのか減るのか?

20 26年に技術部門のレイオフは増えるのか減るのか?

増加

89% 確率
Polymarket

$25,326 Vol.

増加

89% 確率
Polymarket

$25,326 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Major tech firms are accelerating workforce reductions in 2026 through AI-driven automation and operational restructuring, pushing year-to-date layoffs well above 2025 pace according to trackers like Layoffs.fyi and Crunchbase. Companies including Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, and Oracle have cited AI efficiencies for replacing roles in customer support, content, and routine engineering while redirecting capital toward model development and infrastructure. Surveys of hiring managers highlight AI automation as a top layoff driver alongside macroeconomic pressures, with early 2026 data showing over 100,000 cuts already recorded and a faster monthly run rate than prior years. This sustained restructuring underpins the market's 88.5% implied probability for higher total layoffs, as firms balance productivity gains from large language models and machine learning tools against headcount. Earnings seasons and further AI investment announcements remain key near-term catalysts that could reinforce or moderate the trend.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.

If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$25,326
終了日
2027/02/28
マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Major tech firms are accelerating workforce reductions in 2026 through AI-driven automation and operational restructuring, pushing year-to-date layoffs well above 2025 pace according to trackers like Layoffs.fyi and Crunchbase. Companies including Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, and Oracle have cited AI efficiencies for replacing roles in customer support, content, and routine engineering while redirecting capital toward model development and infrastructure. Surveys of hiring managers highlight AI automation as a top layoff driver alongside macroeconomic pressures, with early 2026 data showing over 100,000 cuts already recorded and a faster monthly run rate than prior years. This sustained restructuring underpins the market's 88.5% implied probability for higher total layoffs, as firms balance productivity gains from large language models and machine learning tools against headcount. Earnings seasons and further AI investment announcements remain key near-term catalysts that could reinforce or moderate the trend.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.

If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$25,326
終了日
2027/02/28
マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「20 26年に技術部門のレイオフは増えるのか減るのか?」はPolymarket上の日次予測市場で、トレーダーはタイトルに指定された日次ウィンドウ内で20 26年に技術部門のレイオフは増えるのか減るのか?の価格が始値より高く(「Up」)終わるか低く(「Down」)終わるかのシェアを売買します。現在の市場確率は「増加」に対して89%です。価格89%は、市場がその結果に89%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。価格はトレーダーが20 26年に技術部門のレイオフは増えるのか減るのか?のライブ価格変動に反応するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「20 26年に技術部門のレイオフは増えるのか減るのか?」は$25.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています。20 26年に技術部門のレイオフは増えるのか減るのか? Up or Downマーケットはライブの価格変動にリアルタイムで反応する活発なトレーダーを引き付けます。この活動レベルにより、現在のUp/Downオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることが保証されます。このページでライブ価格を追跡し、直接取引できます。

「20 26年に技術部門のレイオフは増えるのか減るのか?」で取引するには、February 27の正午ETにおける20 26年に技術部門のレイオフは増えるのか減るのか?の価格がMarch 20の正午ETより高くなる(「Up」)か低くなる(「Down」)かを判断してください。価格が上がると思えば「Up」を、下がると思えば「Down」を購入します。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。結果が正しければ、各シェアは$1.00を支払います。正しくなければ、シェアは$0の価値になります。

「20 26年に技術部門のレイオフは増えるのか減るのか?」の現在の確率は「増加」に対して89%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこの日次ウィンドウ内で20 26年に技術部門のレイオフは増えるのか減るのか?の価格が増加で終わる確率を89%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーが20 26年に技術部門のレイオフは増えるのか減るのか?のライブ価格データに反応するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。丸一日にわたって、その日の価格アクションが展開するにつれて変化するセンチメントをオッズが反映します。 頻繁に確認するか、ウィンドウが閉じる前に今すぐ取引してください。

「20 26年に技術部門のレイオフは増えるのか減るのか?」市場は、February 27の正午ETとMarch 20の正午ETにおける20 26年に技術部門のレイオフは増えるのか減るのか?の価格の比較に基づいて決済されます。Binance TECH-LAYOFFS/USDTの1分キャンドル終値を使用します。February 27の正午価格が高ければ結果は「Up」、低ければ「Down」、同じであれば市場は50-50で決済されます。「ルール」セクションで完全な基準を確認できます。