Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds the edge in the Best Cinematography market at 58% implied probability, buoyed by its elaborate Millais-inspired visuals, multi-era showgirl concept, and strong overall VMA campaign momentum for the Life of a Showgirl era. The field remains tightly contested among the six nominees, with Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film,” LISA’s “Dream,” Ariana Grande’s “hate that i made you love me,” and entries from A$AP Rocky and Shaboozey clustered near even odds. Voter sentiment reflects the video’s technical craft and cultural resonance, yet the category’s inherent subjectivity and fan-voting dynamics leave room for shifts before ballots close September 25. The September 27 ceremony in Los Angeles will resolve the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日VMA Best Cinematography 2026
VMA Best Cinematography 2026
Confessions II – The Film（マドンナ） 26%
Dream（リサ フィーチャリング 坂口健太郎） 25%
Hate That I Made You Love Me（アリアナ・グランデ） 24%
Punk Rocky（A$AP Rocky） 17%
新規
新規
2026/09/27
Confessions II – The Film（マドンナ）
26%
Dream（リサ フィーチャリング 坂口健太郎）
25%
Hate That I Made You Love Me（アリアナ・グランデ）
24%
Punk Rocky（A$AP Rocky）
17%
Cowgirl（Shaboozey）
17%
The Fate of Ophelia（テイラー・スウィフト）
58%
Confessions II – The Film（マドンナ） 26%
Dream（リサ フィーチャリング 坂口健太郎） 25%
Hate That I Made You Love Me（アリアナ・グランデ） 24%
Punk Rocky（A$AP Rocky） 17%
新規
新規
2026/09/27
Confessions II – The Film（マドンナ）
$0 Vol.
26%
Dream（リサ フィーチャリング 坂口健太郎）
$0 Vol.
25%
Hate That I Made You Love Me（アリアナ・グランデ）
$0 Vol.
24%
Punk Rocky（A$AP Rocky）
$0 Vol.
17%
Cowgirl（Shaboozey）
$0 Vol.
17%
The Fate of Ophelia（テイラー・スウィフト）
$20 Vol.
58%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Cinematography.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Cinematography when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds the edge in the Best Cinematography market at 58% implied probability, buoyed by its elaborate Millais-inspired visuals, multi-era showgirl concept, and strong overall VMA campaign momentum for the Life of a Showgirl era. The field remains tightly contested among the six nominees, with Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film,” LISA’s “Dream,” Ariana Grande’s “hate that i made you love me,” and entries from A$AP Rocky and Shaboozey clustered near even odds. Voter sentiment reflects the video’s technical craft and cultural resonance, yet the category’s inherent subjectivity and fan-voting dynamics leave room for shifts before ballots close September 25. The September 27 ceremony in Los Angeles will resolve the outcome.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Cinematography.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Cinematography when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Cinematography.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Cinematography when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
音量
$20終了日
2026/09/28マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 5:57 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Cinematography.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Cinematography when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds the edge in the Best Cinematography market at 58% implied probability, buoyed by its elaborate Millais-inspired visuals, multi-era showgirl concept, and strong overall VMA campaign momentum for the Life of a Showgirl era. The field remains tightly contested among the six nominees, with Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film,” LISA’s “Dream,” Ariana Grande’s “hate that i made you love me,” and entries from A$AP Rocky and Shaboozey clustered near even odds. Voter sentiment reflects the video’s technical craft and cultural resonance, yet the category’s inherent subjectivity and fan-voting dynamics leave room for shifts before ballots close September 25. The September 27 ceremony in Los Angeles will resolve the outcome.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Cinematography.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Cinematography when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Cinematography.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Cinematography when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$20終了日
2026/09/28マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 5:57 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds the edge in the Best Cinematography market at 58% implied probability, buoyed by its elaborate Millais-inspired visuals, multi-era showgirl concept, and strong overall VMA campaign momentum for the Life of a Showgirl era. The field remains tightly contested among the six nominees, with Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film,” LISA’s “Dream,” Ariana Grande’s “hate that i made you love me,” and entries from A$AP Rocky and Shaboozey clustered near even odds. Voter sentiment reflects the video’s technical craft and cultural resonance, yet the category’s inherent subjectivity and fan-voting dynamics leave room for shifts before ballots close September 25. The September 27 ceremony in Los Angeles will resolve the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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