Traders have priced a razor-thin 50% implied probability for WD-40 (WDFC) to surpass Q1 fiscal 2025 earnings consensus ahead of the October 17, 2024, release, capturing uncertainty in a closely contested market. Recent quarters delivered EPS beats—$1.41 versus $1.38 expected last period—bolstered by gross margin expansion to 53.1% from pricing discipline, yet revenue misses persisted due to flat Americas volumes amid inflation-hit consumer spending on maintenance products. Analyst estimates hold steady at $1.32 EPS and $155.5 million revenue, with EMEA/APAC growth as a potential offset. Decisive catalysts include gross margin updates and volume trends; robust international demand or cost efficiencies could swing sentiment toward a beat, while deeper U.S. softness risks a miss.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
はい
If WD-40 releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
マーケット開始日: Mar 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...If WD-40 releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Resolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Traders have priced a razor-thin 50% implied probability for WD-40 (WDFC) to surpass Q1 fiscal 2025 earnings consensus ahead of the October 17, 2024, release, capturing uncertainty in a closely contested market. Recent quarters delivered EPS beats—$1.41 versus $1.38 expected last period—bolstered by gross margin expansion to 53.1% from pricing discipline, yet revenue misses persisted due to flat Americas volumes amid inflation-hit consumer spending on maintenance products. Analyst estimates hold steady at $1.32 EPS and $155.5 million revenue, with EMEA/APAC growth as a potential offset. Decisive catalysts include gross margin updates and volume trends; robust international demand or cost efficiencies could swing sentiment toward a beat, while deeper U.S. softness risks a miss.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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