Heightened U.S.-Mexico enforcement coordination, including joint task forces, extraditions, and multimillion-dollar rewards, has driven recent arrests of cartel figures in 2026. Mexican forces captured CJNG regional commander Audias Flores Silva (“El Jardinero”), viewed as a potential successor to slain leader Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes (“El Mencho”), in April without shots fired. In August, the Department of Justice unsealed new narco-terrorism charges and over $100 million in bounties targeting additional CJNG fugitives. Sinaloa Cartel factions have faced parallel operations yielding mid-level detentions and transfers. These actions, amid ongoing cartel reorganization and violence after El Mencho’s February death, shape trader assessments of further high-profile arrests before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年に逮捕されるカルテルのリーダーは誰ですか？
2026年に逮捕されるカルテルのリーダーは誰ですか？
$176,408 Vol.
2026/12/31
イヴァン・アルチバルド・グスマン・サラサール
54%
ヘスス・アルフレド・グスマン・サラザール
46%
リカルド・ルイス・ベラスコ
43%
ウーゴ・ゴンザロ・メンドーサ・ガイタン
33%
フアン・カルロス・バレンシア・ゴンザレス
29%
フアン・レジェス・メヒア・ゴンザレス
57%
フアン・パブロ・レデスマ
45%
$176,408 Vol.
イヴァン・アルチバルド・グスマン・サラサール
$5,972 Vol.
54%
ヘスス・アルフレド・グスマン・サラザール
$5,988 Vol.
46%
リカルド・ルイス・ベラスコ
$60,997 Vol.
43%
ウーゴ・ゴンザロ・メンドーサ・ガイタン
$4,874 Vol.
33%
フアン・カルロス・バレンシア・ゴンザレス
$58,662 Vol.
29%
フアン・レジェス・メヒア・ゴンザレス
$33,310 Vol.
57%
フアン・パブロ・レデスマ
$658 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Heightened U.S.-Mexico enforcement coordination, including joint task forces, extraditions, and multimillion-dollar rewards, has driven recent arrests of cartel figures in 2026. Mexican forces captured CJNG regional commander Audias Flores Silva (“El Jardinero”), viewed as a potential successor to slain leader Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes (“El Mencho”), in April without shots fired. In August, the Department of Justice unsealed new narco-terrorism charges and over $100 million in bounties targeting additional CJNG fugitives. Sinaloa Cartel factions have faced parallel operations yielding mid-level detentions and transfers. These actions, amid ongoing cartel reorganization and violence after El Mencho’s February death, shape trader assessments of further high-profile arrests before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ET
音量
$176,408終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Heightened U.S.-Mexico enforcement coordination, including joint task forces, extraditions, and multimillion-dollar rewards, has driven recent arrests of cartel figures in 2026. Mexican forces captured CJNG regional commander Audias Flores Silva (“El Jardinero”), viewed as a potential successor to slain leader Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes (“El Mencho”), in April without shots fired. In August, the Department of Justice unsealed new narco-terrorism charges and over $100 million in bounties targeting additional CJNG fugitives. Sinaloa Cartel factions have faced parallel operations yielding mid-level detentions and transfers. These actions, amid ongoing cartel reorganization and violence after El Mencho’s February death, shape trader assessments of further high-profile arrests before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$176,408終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Heightened U.S.-Mexico enforcement coordination, including joint task forces, extraditions, and multimillion-dollar rewards, has driven recent arrests of cartel figures in 2026. Mexican forces captured CJNG regional commander Audias Flores Silva (“El Jardinero”), viewed as a potential successor to slain leader Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes (“El Mencho”), in April without shots fired. In August, the Department of Justice unsealed new narco-terrorism charges and over $100 million in bounties targeting additional CJNG fugitives. Sinaloa Cartel factions have faced parallel operations yielding mid-level detentions and transfers. These actions, amid ongoing cartel reorganization and violence after El Mencho’s February death, shape trader assessments of further high-profile arrests before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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