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icon for $ ANSEMは___までに$ PUMPを切り替えますか?

$ ANSEMは___までに$ PUMPを切り替えますか?

icon for $ ANSEMは___までに$ PUMPを切り替えますか?

$ ANSEMは___までに$ PUMPを切り替えますか?

$70,903 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$70,903 Vol.

Polymarket

2026年12月31日

$55,481 Vol.

14¢

2027年6月30日

$3,627 Vol.

17¢

2027年12月31日

$11,796 Vol.

16¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.**$ANSEM (The Black Bull), a Solana memecoin launched on pump.fun in mid-June 2026, has seen explosive growth after an anonymous deployer airdropped a large supply share to influencer Ansem (@blknoiz06), who then committed to redistributing substantial creator fees back to holders as “stimmy” rather than keeping them.** This narrative—tying the token to Ansem’s reputation for early calls on coins like WIF and BONK, combined with on-chain airdrops of roughly $7 million across hundreds of wallets—drove a roughly 20,000% price surge in one week, pushing market cap into the tens to low hundreds of millions while reviving pump.fun activity to an 80-day high in token launches and graduations. Traders view $ANSEM as a pure community- and influencer-driven play competing for attention and liquidity against $PUMP, the established token of the dominant Solana launchpad itself. Key variables include Ansem’s ongoing distribution plans, holder concentration risks (he controls ~60% of supply), potential dumps from early recipients, and broader memecoin momentum on Solana. Resolution hinges on whichever metric the market specifies for “flipping” by the deadline, with sentiment reflecting rapid shifts in hype, volume, and wallet flows typical of these assets.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively.

If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.
音量
$70,903
終了日
2027/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 2, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.**$ANSEM (The Black Bull), a Solana memecoin launched on pump.fun in mid-June 2026, has seen explosive growth after an anonymous deployer airdropped a large supply share to influencer Ansem (@blknoiz06), who then committed to redistributing substantial creator fees back to holders as “stimmy” rather than keeping them.** This narrative—tying the token to Ansem’s reputation for early calls on coins like WIF and BONK, combined with on-chain airdrops of roughly $7 million across hundreds of wallets—drove a roughly 20,000% price surge in one week, pushing market cap into the tens to low hundreds of millions while reviving pump.fun activity to an 80-day high in token launches and graduations. Traders view $ANSEM as a pure community- and influencer-driven play competing for attention and liquidity against $PUMP, the established token of the dominant Solana launchpad itself. Key variables include Ansem’s ongoing distribution plans, holder concentration risks (he controls ~60% of supply), potential dumps from early recipients, and broader memecoin momentum on Solana. Resolution hinges on whichever metric the market specifies for “flipping” by the deadline, with sentiment reflecting rapid shifts in hype, volume, and wallet flows typical of these assets.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively.

If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.
音量
$70,903
終了日
2027/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 2, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「$ ANSEMは___までに$ PUMPを切り替えますか?」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2027年6月30日」で17%、次いで「2027年12月31日」が17%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、17¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に17%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「$ ANSEMは___までに$ PUMPを切り替えますか?」は$70.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jul 2, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「$ ANSEMは___までに$ PUMPを切り替えますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「$ ANSEMは___までに$ PUMPを切り替えますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「2027年6月30日」で17%であり、市場がこの結果に17%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「2027年12月31日」で17%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「$ ANSEMは___までに$ PUMPを切り替えますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。