AOC's positioning as a leading contender in early 2028 Democratic presidential polling, including a 22% share in a recent University of New Hampshire survey ahead of figures like Pete Buttigieg, has anchored trader expectations around a White House bid announcement. Her repeated statements declining to rule out either option—most recently in an August ABC interview where she called "anything possible" while emphasizing midterm focus—combined with progressive primary successes in New York during June, have sustained momentum for higher office. A Senate challenge against Chuck Schumer remains viable given her New York base and party influence, yet the national profile and Sanders-aligned movement dynamics tilt implied probabilities toward a presidential path before 2028. No firm commitments have emerged, leaving room for shifts ahead of primaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日AOCは2028年までに上院議員または大統領に立候補することを発表しますか？
AOCは2028年までに上院議員または大統領に立候補することを発表しますか？
大統領 59%
上院 38%
どちらでもない 6%
新規
新規
2027/12/31
大統領
59%
上院
38%
どちらでもない
6%
大統領 59%
上院 38%
どちらでもない 6%
新規
新規
2027/12/31
大統領
$351 Vol.
59%
上院
$520 Vol.
38%
どちらでもない
$331 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement.
If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.AOC's positioning as a leading contender in early 2028 Democratic presidential polling, including a 22% share in a recent University of New Hampshire survey ahead of figures like Pete Buttigieg, has anchored trader expectations around a White House bid announcement. Her repeated statements declining to rule out either option—most recently in an August ABC interview where she called "anything possible" while emphasizing midterm focus—combined with progressive primary successes in New York during June, have sustained momentum for higher office. A Senate challenge against Chuck Schumer remains viable given her New York base and party influence, yet the national profile and Sanders-aligned movement dynamics tilt implied probabilities toward a presidential path before 2028. No firm commitments have emerged, leaving room for shifts ahead of primaries.
This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement.
If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement.
If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
音量
$1,202終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement.
If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.AOC's positioning as a leading contender in early 2028 Democratic presidential polling, including a 22% share in a recent University of New Hampshire survey ahead of figures like Pete Buttigieg, has anchored trader expectations around a White House bid announcement. Her repeated statements declining to rule out either option—most recently in an August ABC interview where she called "anything possible" while emphasizing midterm focus—combined with progressive primary successes in New York during June, have sustained momentum for higher office. A Senate challenge against Chuck Schumer remains viable given her New York base and party influence, yet the national profile and Sanders-aligned movement dynamics tilt implied probabilities toward a presidential path before 2028. No firm commitments have emerged, leaving room for shifts ahead of primaries.
This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement.
If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement.
If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,202終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...AOC's positioning as a leading contender in early 2028 Democratic presidential polling, including a 22% share in a recent University of New Hampshire survey ahead of figures like Pete Buttigieg, has anchored trader expectations around a White House bid announcement. Her repeated statements declining to rule out either option—most recently in an August ABC interview where she called "anything possible" while emphasizing midterm focus—combined with progressive primary successes in New York during June, have sustained momentum for higher office. A Senate challenge against Chuck Schumer remains viable given her New York base and party influence, yet the national profile and Sanders-aligned movement dynamics tilt implied probabilities toward a presidential path before 2028. No firm commitments have emerged, leaving room for shifts ahead of primaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問