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カニエ・ウェストは6月30日までに英国を訪問しますか？

Market icon

カニエ・ウェストは6月30日までに英国を訪問しますか？

はい

6% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

6% 確率
Polymarket
新規
If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 94.5% implied probability for Kanye West visiting the UK by June 30, driven by the UK Home Office's abrupt denial of his electronic travel authorization just days ago. The decision, citing his presence as "not conducive to the public good" amid renewed backlash over past antisemitic remarks, scuttled his planned headline slots at London's Wireless Festival in July—sparking sponsor pullouts from Pepsi and Diageo, plus outcry from anti-hate groups. With no other confirmed UK appearances on his 2026 European tour itinerary and political pressure mounting from ministers decrying his "abhorrent views," traders anticipate sustained entry barriers. An unlikely appeal success or low-profile private trip could challenge this, though rapid shifts in celebrity travel controversies underscore entertainment's unpredictability.

If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$1,769
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 94.5% implied probability for Kanye West visiting the UK by June 30, driven by the UK Home Office's abrupt denial of his electronic travel authorization just days ago. The decision, citing his presence as "not conducive to the public good" amid renewed backlash over past antisemitic remarks, scuttled his planned headline slots at London's Wireless Festival in July—sparking sponsor pullouts from Pepsi and Diageo, plus outcry from anti-hate groups. With no other confirmed UK appearances on his 2026 European tour itinerary and political pressure mounting from ministers decrying his "abhorrent views," traders anticipate sustained entry barriers. An unlikely appeal success or low-profile private trip could challenge this, though rapid shifts in celebrity travel controversies underscore entertainment's unpredictability.

If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$1,769
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「カニエ・ウェストは6月30日までに英国を訪問しますか？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「カニエ・ウェストは6月30日までにイギリスを訪れますか？」で6%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、6¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に6%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「カニエ・ウェストは6月30日までに英国を訪問しますか？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Apr 7, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「カニエ・ウェストは6月30日までに英国を訪問しますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「カニエ・ウェストは6月30日までに英国を訪問しますか？」の現在のリーダーは「カニエ・ウェストは6月30日までにイギリスを訪れますか？」でわずか6%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「カニエ・ウェストは6月30日までに英国を訪問しますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。