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icon for カニエ・ウェストは6月30日までに英国を訪問しますか?

カニエ・ウェストは6月30日までに英国を訪問しますか?

icon for カニエ・ウェストは6月30日までに英国を訪問しますか?

カニエ・ウェストは6月30日までに英国を訪問しますか?

はい

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$5,126 Vol.

はい

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$5,126 Vol.

If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The UK Home Office's April 2026 decision to revoke Ye's Electronic Travel Authorisation on public-good grounds, citing his history of antisemitic statements, remains the dominant factor behind the 99.8% market-implied probability of "No." That official ban directly canceled his planned Wireless Festival headline slot and shows no signs of reversal, with his current 2026 tour itinerary focused on U.S. and select non-UK European dates. Traders view the short window to June 30 as insufficient for any policy shift or successful legal challenge. While an unexpected diplomatic intervention or sudden ban lift could theoretically allow entry, such developments lack any verified momentum or precedent in similar cases.

If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$5,126
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The UK Home Office's April 2026 decision to revoke Ye's Electronic Travel Authorisation on public-good grounds, citing his history of antisemitic statements, remains the dominant factor behind the 99.8% market-implied probability of "No." That official ban directly canceled his planned Wireless Festival headline slot and shows no signs of reversal, with his current 2026 tour itinerary focused on U.S. and select non-UK European dates. Traders view the short window to June 30 as insufficient for any policy shift or successful legal challenge. While an unexpected diplomatic intervention or sudden ban lift could theoretically allow entry, such developments lack any verified momentum or precedent in similar cases.

If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$5,126
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「カニエ・ウェストは6月30日までに英国を訪問しますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「カニエ・ウェストは6月30日までにイギリスを訪れますか?」で0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、0¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に0%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「カニエ・ウェストは6月30日までに英国を訪問しますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Apr 7, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「カニエ・ウェストは6月30日までに英国を訪問しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「カニエ・ウェストは6月30日までに英国を訪問しますか?」の現在のリーダーは「カニエ・ウェストは6月30日までにイギリスを訪れますか?」でわずか0%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「カニエ・ウェストは6月30日までに英国を訪問しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。