Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 83.5% implied probability that Pam Bondi will avoid contempt of Congress by April 30, driven by the Justice Department's April 8 announcement that she won't appear for her subpoenaed April 14 deposition on Epstein files, citing her recent ouster as Attorney General. Despite bipartisan threats—including from Reps. Robert Garcia, Summer Lee, Nancy Mace, and earlier bipartisan pushes by Thomas Massie and Ro Khanna—actual enforcement remains elusive in a Republican-led House Oversight Committee, where historical patterns show rare prosecutions of executive allies amid legal challenges and inherent contempt hurdles. Her February combative Judiciary testimony fueled prior calls, but post-firing dynamics and procedural delays solidify trader skepticism, with any committee vote post-deposition as the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2026/04/30
はい
新規
新規
2026/04/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pam Bondi is held in contempt of Congress by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 83.5% implied probability that Pam Bondi will avoid contempt of Congress by April 30, driven by the Justice Department's April 8 announcement that she won't appear for her subpoenaed April 14 deposition on Epstein files, citing her recent ouster as Attorney General. Despite bipartisan threats—including from Reps. Robert Garcia, Summer Lee, Nancy Mace, and earlier bipartisan pushes by Thomas Massie and Ro Khanna—actual enforcement remains elusive in a Republican-led House Oversight Committee, where historical patterns show rare prosecutions of executive allies amid legal challenges and inherent contempt hurdles. Her February combative Judiciary testimony fueled prior calls, but post-firing dynamics and procedural delays solidify trader skepticism, with any committee vote post-deposition as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pam Bondi is held in contempt of Congress by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 8, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
音量
$417終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pam Bondi is held in contempt of Congress by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 83.5% implied probability that Pam Bondi will avoid contempt of Congress by April 30, driven by the Justice Department's April 8 announcement that she won't appear for her subpoenaed April 14 deposition on Epstein files, citing her recent ouster as Attorney General. Despite bipartisan threats—including from Reps. Robert Garcia, Summer Lee, Nancy Mace, and earlier bipartisan pushes by Thomas Massie and Ro Khanna—actual enforcement remains elusive in a Republican-led House Oversight Committee, where historical patterns show rare prosecutions of executive allies amid legal challenges and inherent contempt hurdles. Her February combative Judiciary testimony fueled prior calls, but post-firing dynamics and procedural delays solidify trader skepticism, with any committee vote post-deposition as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pam Bondi is held in contempt of Congress by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$487終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 83.5% implied probability that Pam Bondi will avoid contempt of Congress by April 30, driven by the Justice Department's April 8 announcement that she won't appear for her subpoenaed April 14 deposition on Epstein files, citing her recent ouster as Attorney General. Despite bipartisan threats—including from Reps. Robert Garcia, Summer Lee, Nancy Mace, and earlier bipartisan pushes by Thomas Massie and Ro Khanna—actual enforcement remains elusive in a Republican-led House Oversight Committee, where historical patterns show rare prosecutions of executive allies amid legal challenges and inherent contempt hurdles. Her February combative Judiciary testimony fueled prior calls, but post-firing dynamics and procedural delays solidify trader skepticism, with any committee vote post-deposition as the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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