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トランプ大統領は6月30日までにタイガー・ウッズ氏を恩赦するか?

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トランプ大統領は6月30日までにタイガー・ウッズ氏を恩赦するか?

9% 確率
Polymarket
新規
9% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Tiger Woods' March 27 DUI arrest after a rollover crash on Florida's Jupiter Island, revealed via bodycam footage where he mentioned calling President Trump, ignited viral but debunked social media claims of a pardon push from Trump to Gov. DeSantis. The state misdemeanor charge evades federal pardon power, with no federal offenses charged despite Woods' past 2017 DUI diversion. A judge approved his travel for inpatient treatment abroad, sidelining him from the PGA Tour and 2026 Masters amid recovery from prior Achilles injury. Trader consensus hinges on unlikely escalation to federal jurisdiction by June 30, tempered by their friendship but Trump's federal-only pardon history.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$1,506
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 10:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Tiger Woods' March 27 DUI arrest after a rollover crash on Florida's Jupiter Island, revealed via bodycam footage where he mentioned calling President Trump, ignited viral but debunked social media claims of a pardon push from Trump to Gov. DeSantis. The state misdemeanor charge evades federal pardon power, with no federal offenses charged despite Woods' past 2017 DUI diversion. A judge approved his travel for inpatient treatment abroad, sidelining him from the PGA Tour and 2026 Masters amid recovery from prior Achilles injury. Trader consensus hinges on unlikely escalation to federal jurisdiction by June 30, tempered by their friendship but Trump's federal-only pardon history.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$1,506
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 10:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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よくある質問

「トランプ大統領は6月30日までにタイガー・ウッズ氏を恩赦するか?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して9%です。例えば、「はい」が9¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を9%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「トランプ大統領は6月30日までにタイガー・ウッズ氏を恩赦するか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Apr 3, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「トランプ大統領は6月30日までにタイガー・ウッズ氏を恩赦するか?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「トランプ大統領は6月30日までにタイガー・ウッズ氏を恩赦するか?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して9%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を9%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「トランプ大統領は6月30日までにタイガー・ウッズ氏を恩赦するか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。