The four remaining teams—England, France, Spain, and Argentina—have produced a tightly bunched market for World Cup runner-up because any of them can realistically reach the final and fall short. England’s slight edge in trader pricing reflects strong recent form through the knockout rounds and a favorable path, yet the side still faces a high-stakes semifinal against Argentina. France and Spain, set to meet in the other semifinal, carry comparable implied probabilities given their elite rankings, deep squads, and proven ability to advance deep in major tournaments. Argentina’s lower price accounts for the difficult matchup against England plus the challenges of sustaining momentum after earlier rounds. With the bracket ensuring no repeat meetings until this stage and all four sides posting top FIFA rankings entering the event, small differences in form, rest, or tactical execution can shift who contests the July 19 final and ultimately finishes second.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Argentina 100.0%
France <1%
England <1%
Spain <1%
$35,901 Vol.
$35,901 Vol.
2026/07/19
Argentina
Yes
England
No
Spain
No
France
No
Argentina 100.0%
France <1%
England <1%
Spain <1%
$35,901 Vol.
$35,901 Vol.
2026/07/19
Argentina
$11,114 Vol.
Yes
England
$3,647 Vol.
No
Spain
$20,849 Vol.
No
France
$290 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country finishes 2nd place (runner-up) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in second place. If multiple teams are officially awarded second place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 2nd place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The four remaining teams—England, France, Spain, and Argentina—have produced a tightly bunched market for World Cup runner-up because any of them can realistically reach the final and fall short. England’s slight edge in trader pricing reflects strong recent form through the knockout rounds and a favorable path, yet the side still faces a high-stakes semifinal against Argentina. France and Spain, set to meet in the other semifinal, carry comparable implied probabilities given their elite rankings, deep squads, and proven ability to advance deep in major tournaments. Argentina’s lower price accounts for the difficult matchup against England plus the challenges of sustaining momentum after earlier rounds. With the bracket ensuring no repeat meetings until this stage and all four sides posting top FIFA rankings entering the event, small differences in form, rest, or tactical execution can shift who contests the July 19 final and ultimately finishes second.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country finishes 2nd place (runner-up) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in second place. If multiple teams are officially awarded second place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 2nd place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in second place. If multiple teams are officially awarded second place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 2nd place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 13, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
音量
$35,901終了日
2026/07/19マーケット開始日
Jul 13, 2026, 3:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country finishes 2nd place (runner-up) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in second place. If multiple teams are officially awarded second place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 2nd place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The four remaining teams—England, France, Spain, and Argentina—have produced a tightly bunched market for World Cup runner-up because any of them can realistically reach the final and fall short. England’s slight edge in trader pricing reflects strong recent form through the knockout rounds and a favorable path, yet the side still faces a high-stakes semifinal against Argentina. France and Spain, set to meet in the other semifinal, carry comparable implied probabilities given their elite rankings, deep squads, and proven ability to advance deep in major tournaments. Argentina’s lower price accounts for the difficult matchup against England plus the challenges of sustaining momentum after earlier rounds. With the bracket ensuring no repeat meetings until this stage and all four sides posting top FIFA rankings entering the event, small differences in form, rest, or tactical execution can shift who contests the July 19 final and ultimately finishes second.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country finishes 2nd place (runner-up) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in second place. If multiple teams are officially awarded second place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 2nd place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in second place. If multiple teams are officially awarded second place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 2nd place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$35,901終了日
2026/07/19マーケット開始日
Jul 13, 2026, 3:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
The four remaining teams—England, France, Spain, and Argentina—have produced a tightly bunched market for World Cup runner-up because any of them can realistically reach the final and fall short. England’s slight edge in trader pricing reflects strong recent form through the knockout rounds and a favorable path, yet the side still faces a high-stakes semifinal against Argentina. France and Spain, set to meet in the other semifinal, carry comparable implied probabilities given their elite rankings, deep squads, and proven ability to advance deep in major tournaments. Argentina’s lower price accounts for the difficult matchup against England plus the challenges of sustaining momentum after earlier rounds. With the bracket ensuring no repeat meetings until this stage and all four sides posting top FIFA rankings entering the event, small differences in form, rest, or tactical execution can shift who contests the July 19 final and ultimately finishes second.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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