The tight clustering of implied probabilities around Kylian Mbappe, Harry Kane, Mikel Oyarzabal, Erling Haaland, and several others reflects a deep pool of proven goalscorers entering the expanded 48-team tournament. Mbappe and Kane arrive with strong recent club output and prior Golden Boot experience, while Spain’s attacking depth and Norway’s reliance on Haaland keep multiple pathways open. Younger options such as Lamine Yamal and established names like Lionel Messi add further dispersion, as no single player or squad holds a decisive edge heading into group stage matches starting June 11. Trader consensus therefore prices a genuinely open race where progression depth and individual hot streaks will decide the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ワールドカップ:ゴールデンブーツウィナー
Kylian Mbappe 16%
Harry Kane 13%
Mikel Oyarzabal 8%
Erling Haaland 6%
$2,092,182 Vol.
$2,092,182 Vol.
Kylian Mbappe
16%
Harry Kane
13%
Mikel Oyarzabal
8%
Erling Haaland
6%
Cristiano Ronaldo
5%
Lionel Messi
5%
Lamine Yamal
4%
Vinicius Junior
3%
Ferran Torres
3%
Raphinha
3%
Ousmane Dembele
3%
Julian Alvarez
3%
Lautaro Martinez
2%
Igor Thiago
2%
Cody Gakpo
2%
Deniz Undav
2%
Luis Diaz
2%
Michael Olise
2%
Federico Valverde
1%
Luis Javier Suárez
1%
Marcus Thuram
1%
Viktor Gyökeres
1%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Jude Bellingham
1%
Depay Memphis
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Bukayo Saka
1%
Heung-Min Son
1%
Edin Džeko
1%
Sadio Mane
1%
Scott McTominay
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Dani Olmo
<1%
Rafael Leao
<1%
Antoine Semenyo
<1%
Bradley Barcola
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
Kylian Mbappe 16%
Harry Kane 13%
Mikel Oyarzabal 8%
Erling Haaland 6%
$2,092,182 Vol.
$2,092,182 Vol.
Kylian Mbappe
16%
Harry Kane
13%
Mikel Oyarzabal
8%
Erling Haaland
6%
Cristiano Ronaldo
5%
Lionel Messi
5%
Lamine Yamal
4%
Vinicius Junior
3%
Ferran Torres
3%
Raphinha
3%
Ousmane Dembele
3%
Julian Alvarez
3%
Lautaro Martinez
2%
Igor Thiago
2%
Cody Gakpo
2%
Deniz Undav
2%
Luis Diaz
2%
Michael Olise
2%
Federico Valverde
1%
Luis Javier Suárez
1%
Marcus Thuram
1%
Viktor Gyökeres
1%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Jude Bellingham
1%
Depay Memphis
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Bukayo Saka
1%
Heung-Min Son
1%
Edin Džeko
1%
Sadio Mane
1%
Scott McTominay
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Dani Olmo
<1%
Rafael Leao
<1%
Antoine Semenyo
<1%
Bradley Barcola
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of implied probabilities around Kylian Mbappe, Harry Kane, Mikel Oyarzabal, Erling Haaland, and several others reflects a deep pool of proven goalscorers entering the expanded 48-team tournament. Mbappe and Kane arrive with strong recent club output and prior Golden Boot experience, while Spain’s attacking depth and Norway’s reliance on Haaland keep multiple pathways open. Younger options such as Lamine Yamal and established names like Lionel Messi add further dispersion, as no single player or squad holds a decisive edge heading into group stage matches starting June 11. Trader consensus therefore prices a genuinely open race where progression depth and individual hot streaks will decide the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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