Spain and France lead the World Cup winner market at similar implied probabilities because both squads boast elite attacking depth, experienced coaches, and strong qualifying campaigns heading into the expanded 48-team tournament. England sits close behind on the back of consistent results and key midfield talent, while Portugal, Brazil, and Argentina remain competitive due to star power and historical pedigree despite varying recent form. The tight clustering among the top six reflects a deep field of European and South American sides with comparable roster strength, favorable group-stage positioning, and limited standout injuries or roster changes in recent weeks, leaving multiple realistic paths to the final.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日スペイン 16.9%
フランス 16.6%
イングランド 11.2%
ポルトガル 10.2%
$1,290,250,754 Vol.
$1,290,250,754 Vol.
2026/07/20
スペイン
17%
フランス
17%
イングランド
11%
ポルトガル
10%
ブラジル
9%
アルゼンチン
9%
ドイツ
5%
オランダ
4%
ノルウェー
3%
コロンビア
2%
日本
2%
ベルギー
2%
モロッコ
1%
スイス
1%
アメリカ
1%
ウルグアイ
1%
メキシコ
1%
エクアドル
1%
クロアチア
1%
トルコ
1%
セネガル
1%
オーストリア
1%
スウェーデン
1%
カナダ
<1%
韓国
<1%
ガーナ
<1%
ボスニア・ヘルツェゴビナ
<1%
パラグアイ
<1%
スコットランド
<1%
コートジボワール
<1%
チェコ
<1%
エジプト
<1%
イラン
<1%
アルジェリア
<1%
チュニジア
<1%
コンゴ民主共和国
<1%
オーストラリア
<1%
ニュージーランド
<1%
ハイチ
<1%
ヨルダン
<1%
キュラソー
<1%
ウズベキスタン
<1%
パナマ
<1%
イラク
<1%
南アフリカ
<1%
カーボベルデ
<1%
カタール
<1%
サウジアラビア
<1%
スペイン 16.9%
フランス 16.6%
イングランド 11.2%
ポルトガル 10.2%
$1,290,250,754 Vol.
$1,290,250,754 Vol.
2026/07/20
スペイン
$25,657,370 Vol.
17%
フランス
$31,911,984 Vol.
17%
イングランド
$21,291,769 Vol.
11%
ポルトガル
$25,980,175 Vol.
10%
ブラジル
$23,053,587 Vol.
9%
アルゼンチン
$22,782,524 Vol.
9%
ドイツ
$21,897,608 Vol.
5%
オランダ
$24,684,715 Vol.
4%
ノルウェー
$25,972,022 Vol.
3%
コロンビア
$21,395,873 Vol.
2%
日本
$27,896,871 Vol.
2%
ベルギー
$21,346,044 Vol.
2%
モロッコ
$27,835,834 Vol.
1%
スイス
$24,000,111 Vol.
1%
アメリカ
$40,236,550 Vol.
1%
ウルグアイ
$22,244,528 Vol.
1%
メキシコ
$26,296,044 Vol.
1%
エクアドル
$29,044,748 Vol.
1%
クロアチア
$28,964,255 Vol.
1%
トルコ
$17,880,328 Vol.
1%
セネガル
$24,402,507 Vol.
1%
オーストリア
$29,345,614 Vol.
1%
スウェーデン
$15,862,671 Vol.
1%
カナダ
$29,295,460 Vol.
<1%
韓国
$32,025,868 Vol.
<1%
ガーナ
$24,158,066 Vol.
<1%
ボスニア・ヘルツェゴビナ
$13,800,467 Vol.
<1%
パラグアイ
$25,864,218 Vol.
<1%
スコットランド
$30,070,981 Vol.
<1%
コートジボワール
$31,862,714 Vol.
<1%
チェコ
$12,370,008 Vol.
<1%
エジプト
$29,871,558 Vol.
<1%
イラン
$31,995,333 Vol.
<1%
アルジェリア
$26,674,213 Vol.
<1%
チュニジア
$27,824,520 Vol.
<1%
コンゴ民主共和国
$26,839,822 Vol.
<1%
オーストラリア
$28,888,256 Vol.
<1%
ニュージーランド
$35,130,139 Vol.
<1%
ハイチ
$20,083,330 Vol.
<1%
ヨルダン
$30,415,330 Vol.
<1%
キュラソー
$40,370,146 Vol.
<1%
ウズベキスタン
$47,541,365 Vol.
<1%
パナマ
$17,501,578 Vol.
<1%
イラク
$16,488,111 Vol.
<1%
南アフリカ
$33,179,094 Vol.
<1%
カーボベルデ
$27,529,512 Vol.
<1%
カタール
$29,244,304 Vol.
<1%
サウジアラビア
$32,326,586 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France lead the World Cup winner market at similar implied probabilities because both squads boast elite attacking depth, experienced coaches, and strong qualifying campaigns heading into the expanded 48-team tournament. England sits close behind on the back of consistent results and key midfield talent, while Portugal, Brazil, and Argentina remain competitive due to star power and historical pedigree despite varying recent form. The tight clustering among the top six reflects a deep field of European and South American sides with comparable roster strength, favorable group-stage positioning, and limited standout injuries or roster changes in recent weeks, leaving multiple realistic paths to the final.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
音量
$1,290,250,754終了日
2026/07/20マーケット開始日
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France lead the World Cup winner market at similar implied probabilities because both squads boast elite attacking depth, experienced coaches, and strong qualifying campaigns heading into the expanded 48-team tournament. England sits close behind on the back of consistent results and key midfield talent, while Portugal, Brazil, and Argentina remain competitive due to star power and historical pedigree despite varying recent form. The tight clustering among the top six reflects a deep field of European and South American sides with comparable roster strength, favorable group-stage positioning, and limited standout injuries or roster changes in recent weeks, leaving multiple realistic paths to the final.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,290,250,754終了日
2026/07/20マーケット開始日
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France lead the World Cup winner market at similar implied probabilities because both squads boast elite attacking depth, experienced coaches, and strong qualifying campaigns heading into the expanded 48-team tournament. England sits close behind on the back of consistent results and key midfield talent, while Portugal, Brazil, and Argentina remain competitive due to star power and historical pedigree despite varying recent form. The tight clustering among the top six reflects a deep field of European and South American sides with comparable roster strength, favorable group-stage positioning, and limited standout injuries or roster changes in recent weeks, leaving multiple realistic paths to the final.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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