Skip to main content
icon for WSOPメインイベント勝者
スポーツ·WSOP

WSOPメインイベント勝者

icon for WSOPメインイベント勝者
スポーツ·WSOP

WSOPメインイベント勝者

Lucas Jumalon 34%

Rami Hammoud 16%

Michael Gagliano 11%

Jamie Shaevel 9%

Polymarket

$10,786 Vol.

Lucas Jumalon 34%

Rami Hammoud 16%

Michael Gagliano 11%

Jamie Shaevel 9%

Polymarket

$10,786 Vol.

Lucas Jumalon

$5,352 Vol.

34%

Rami Hammoud

$31 Vol.

16%

Jamie Shaevel

$0 Vol.

9%

Greg Mueller

$42 Vol.

9%

Michael Gagliano

$0 Vol.

11%

Mario Boos

$0 Vol.

8%

Lauri Saaskilahti

$201 Vol.

5%

Han Feng

$5,160 Vol.

7%

Evagoras Evagorou

$0 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event ($10,000 No-Limit Hold'em World Championship), currently scheduled for July 2 – August 5, 2026, at Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nevada. If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, WSOP (via wsop.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lucas Jumalon holds a commanding chip lead of 194 million heading into the 2026 WSOP Main Event final table, more than double his nearest rival, which underpins the slight 52.5% trader consensus edge reflected in current pricing. Rami Hammoud, Jamie Shaevel, Greg Mueller, and Michael Gagliano follow with stacks between 46-79 million, creating a competitive dynamic among the top contenders where skill edges, table position, and post-flop play can rapidly shift momentum. Smaller stacks like Mario Boos and Lauri Saaskilahti sit in the 22.5% range, while Han Feng and Evagoras Evagorou trail further behind at 7.5% and 5.5%. High variance in no-limit hold'em, combined with weeks until resumption, keeps implied probabilities closely bunched despite the chip disparity.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event ($10,000 No-Limit Hold'em World Championship), currently scheduled for July 2 – August 5, 2026, at Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nevada.

If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, WSOP (via wsop.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$10,786
マーケット開始日
Jul 14, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event ($10,000 No-Limit Hold'em World Championship), currently scheduled for July 2 – August 5, 2026, at Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nevada. If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, WSOP (via wsop.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event ($10,000 No-Limit Hold'em World Championship), currently scheduled for July 2 – August 5, 2026, at Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nevada. If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, WSOP (via wsop.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lucas Jumalon holds a commanding chip lead of 194 million heading into the 2026 WSOP Main Event final table, more than double his nearest rival, which underpins the slight 52.5% trader consensus edge reflected in current pricing. Rami Hammoud, Jamie Shaevel, Greg Mueller, and Michael Gagliano follow with stacks between 46-79 million, creating a competitive dynamic among the top contenders where skill edges, table position, and post-flop play can rapidly shift momentum. Smaller stacks like Mario Boos and Lauri Saaskilahti sit in the 22.5% range, while Han Feng and Evagoras Evagorou trail further behind at 7.5% and 5.5%. High variance in no-limit hold'em, combined with weeks until resumption, keeps implied probabilities closely bunched despite the chip disparity.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event ($10,000 No-Limit Hold'em World Championship), currently scheduled for July 2 – August 5, 2026, at Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nevada.

If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, WSOP (via wsop.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$10,786
マーケット開始日
Jul 14, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event ($10,000 No-Limit Hold'em World Championship), currently scheduled for July 2 – August 5, 2026, at Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nevada. If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, WSOP (via wsop.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

関連

icon for Will North America Win the WSOP Main Event

Will North America Win the WSOP Main Event

87%
icon for マイケル・ミズラチは2026年WSOPメインイベントで賞金を獲得するか？

マイケル・ミズラチは2026年WSOPメインイベントで賞金を獲得するか？

88%
はい
icon for Will Jesse Lonis win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year?

Will Jesse Lonis win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year?

50%

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「WSOPメインイベント勝者」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Lucas Jumalon」で34%、次いで「Rami Hammoud」が16%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、34¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に34%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「WSOPメインイベント勝者」は$10.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jul 14, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「WSOPメインイベント勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「WSOPメインイベント勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「Lucas Jumalon」で34%であり、市場がこの結果に34%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Rami Hammoud」で16%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「WSOPメインイベント勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。