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기술·App Store

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?

Market icon
기술·App Store

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?

4월 17

4월 17

Claude by Anthropic 90%

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses 33%

Netflix Game Controller 30%

ChatGPT 18%

Polymarket
신규

Claude by Anthropic 90%

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses 33%

Netflix Game Controller 30%

ChatGPT 18%

Polymarket
신규
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? icon

Claude by Anthropic

$190 거래량

82%

Will Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? icon

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

$267 거래량

33%

Will Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? icon

Netflix Game Controller

$267 거래량

30%

Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? icon

ChatGPT

$8 거래량

18%

Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? icon

Google Gemini

$278 거래량

14%

Will TurboTax: File Your Tax Return be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? icon

TurboTax: File Your Tax Return

$498 거래량

3%

Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? icon

Google

$677 거래량

<1%

Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? icon

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money

$419 거래량

<1%

Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? icon

Threads

$457 거래량

<1%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Claude by Anthropic at 82% implied probability for the #2 free spot in the US Apple App Store on April 17, reflecting its current #2 ranking behind ChatGPT amid post-tax deadline dynamics. TurboTax, lingering in #3 after peaking for April 15 filings, shows low 2.5% odds as seasonal demand wanes, clearing space for AI assistants. Claude's sustained momentum stems from a viral February-March surge—downloads tripled following Anthropic's high-profile Pentagon dispute rejection—bolstered by strong user retention and large language model enhancements. Challengers like Google Gemini (21.5%) and Meta AI (17.5%) trail due to less explosive recent growth, while Netflix Game Controller (15.5%) lacks comparable AI-driven virality. With resolution imminent, watch for last-minute app updates or social buzz that could shift rankings.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
거래량
$3,062
종료일
2026.04.17
마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Claude by Anthropic at 82% implied probability for the #2 free spot in the US Apple App Store on April 17, reflecting its current #2 ranking behind ChatGPT amid post-tax deadline dynamics. TurboTax, lingering in #3 after peaking for April 15 filings, shows low 2.5% odds as seasonal demand wanes, clearing space for AI assistants. Claude's sustained momentum stems from a viral February-March surge—downloads tripled following Anthropic's high-profile Pentagon dispute rejection—bolstered by strong user retention and large language model enhancements. Challengers like Google Gemini (21.5%) and Meta AI (17.5%) trail due to less explosive recent growth, while Netflix Game Controller (15.5%) lacks comparable AI-driven virality. With resolution imminent, watch for last-minute app updates or social buzz that could shift rankings.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
거래량
$3,062
종료일
2026.04.17
마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

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자주 묻는 질문

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?"은 9개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 82%의 "Claude by Anthropic"이며, 이어서 18%의 "ChatGPT"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 82¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 82%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Apr 14, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 9개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?"의 현재 유력 후보는 82%의 "Claude by Anthropic"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 82%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 18%의 "ChatGPT"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.