Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 67.5% implied probability to no Bank of England rate hike in 2026, reflecting the March MPC's unanimous decision to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% amid energy price surges from Middle East conflict that lifted CPI inflation to 3.0% in February—above the 2% target but without evident second-round wage-price persistence. Subdued GDP growth (flat in January, though February rebounded 0.5%) and steady 5.2% unemployment signal economic slack, tempering hawkish pressures despite business surveys flagging 3.5% price expectations. Markets price a mildly upward-sloping path via SONIA forwards, but traders bet on holds or easing if the shock proves transitory, with March CPI (April 22 release) and April 30 MPC as key catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$20,502 거래량
$20,502 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$20,502 거래량
$20,502 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 67.5% implied probability to no Bank of England rate hike in 2026, reflecting the March MPC's unanimous decision to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% amid energy price surges from Middle East conflict that lifted CPI inflation to 3.0% in February—above the 2% target but without evident second-round wage-price persistence. Subdued GDP growth (flat in January, though February rebounded 0.5%) and steady 5.2% unemployment signal economic slack, tempering hawkish pressures despite business surveys flagging 3.5% price expectations. Markets price a mildly upward-sloping path via SONIA forwards, but traders bet on holds or easing if the shock proves transitory, with March CPI (April 22 release) and April 30 MPC as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
거래량
$20,502종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 67.5% implied probability to no Bank of England rate hike in 2026, reflecting the March MPC's unanimous decision to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% amid energy price surges from Middle East conflict that lifted CPI inflation to 3.0% in February—above the 2% target but without evident second-round wage-price persistence. Subdued GDP growth (flat in January, though February rebounded 0.5%) and steady 5.2% unemployment signal economic slack, tempering hawkish pressures despite business surveys flagging 3.5% price expectations. Markets price a mildly upward-sloping path via SONIA forwards, but traders bet on holds or easing if the shock proves transitory, with March CPI (April 22 release) and April 30 MPC as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$20,502종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 67.5% implied probability to no Bank of England rate hike in 2026, reflecting the March MPC's unanimous decision to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% amid energy price surges from Middle East conflict that lifted CPI inflation to 3.0% in February—above the 2% target but without evident second-round wage-price persistence. Subdued GDP growth (flat in January, though February rebounded 0.5%) and steady 5.2% unemployment signal economic slack, tempering hawkish pressures despite business surveys flagging 3.5% price expectations. Markets price a mildly upward-sloping path via SONIA forwards, but traders bet on holds or easing if the shock proves transitory, with March CPI (April 22 release) and April 30 MPC as key catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문