Democratic prospects for substantial gains in the 2026 midterm elections have strengthened amid President Trump’s approval ratings near historic lows around 35 percent and a Democratic advantage of six to seven points in recent generic ballot polling. These conditions, combined with an enthusiasm gap favoring Democrats and multiple Republican retirements, align with historical patterns of opposition-party advances during midterm cycles. Traders assign the 68.5 percent probability to a blue wave based on this environment, though outcomes remain subject to shifts from campaign developments, economic data, and turnout in the November elections.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$49,216 거래량
$49,216 거래량
2026.11.30
예
$49,216 거래량
$49,216 거래량
2026.11.30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdfDemocratic prospects for substantial gains in the 2026 midterm elections have strengthened amid President Trump’s approval ratings near historic lows around 35 percent and a Democratic advantage of six to seven points in recent generic ballot polling. These conditions, combined with an enthusiasm gap favoring Democrats and multiple Republican retirements, align with historical patterns of opposition-party advances during midterm cycles. Traders assign the 68.5 percent probability to a blue wave based on this environment, though outcomes remain subject to shifts from campaign developments, economic data, and turnout in the November elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
마켓 개설일: Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
거래량
$49,216종료일
2026.11.30마켓 개설일
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdfDemocratic prospects for substantial gains in the 2026 midterm elections have strengthened amid President Trump’s approval ratings near historic lows around 35 percent and a Democratic advantage of six to seven points in recent generic ballot polling. These conditions, combined with an enthusiasm gap favoring Democrats and multiple Republican retirements, align with historical patterns of opposition-party advances during midterm cycles. Traders assign the 68.5 percent probability to a blue wave based on this environment, though outcomes remain subject to shifts from campaign developments, economic data, and turnout in the November elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
거래량
$49,216종료일
2026.11.30마켓 개설일
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democratic prospects for substantial gains in the 2026 midterm elections have strengthened amid President Trump’s approval ratings near historic lows around 35 percent and a Democratic advantage of six to seven points in recent generic ballot polling. These conditions, combined with an enthusiasm gap favoring Democrats and multiple Republican retirements, align with historical patterns of opposition-party advances during midterm cycles. Traders assign the 68.5 percent probability to a blue wave based on this environment, though outcomes remain subject to shifts from campaign developments, economic data, and turnout in the November elections.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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