President Trump’s approval rating has fallen to around 37-40 percent amid public dissatisfaction with economic conditions and the U.S. military action in Iran, producing a national generic ballot environment in which Democrats lead Republicans by roughly 5 to 8 points in recent polling aggregates. Historical patterns of midterm losses for the president’s party, combined with an enthusiasm advantage for Democratic voters and multiple Republican retirements, have reinforced expectations of substantial opposition gains in the House and a competitive path in the Senate. These factors underpin the 75 percent implied probability traders currently assign to a Democratic wave outcome in November 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$47,454 거래량
$47,454 거래량
2026.11.30
예
$47,454 거래량
$47,454 거래량
2026.11.30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdfPresident Trump’s approval rating has fallen to around 37-40 percent amid public dissatisfaction with economic conditions and the U.S. military action in Iran, producing a national generic ballot environment in which Democrats lead Republicans by roughly 5 to 8 points in recent polling aggregates. Historical patterns of midterm losses for the president’s party, combined with an enthusiasm advantage for Democratic voters and multiple Republican retirements, have reinforced expectations of substantial opposition gains in the House and a competitive path in the Senate. These factors underpin the 75 percent implied probability traders currently assign to a Democratic wave outcome in November 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
마켓 개설일: Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
거래량
$47,454종료일
2026.11.30마켓 개설일
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdfPresident Trump’s approval rating has fallen to around 37-40 percent amid public dissatisfaction with economic conditions and the U.S. military action in Iran, producing a national generic ballot environment in which Democrats lead Republicans by roughly 5 to 8 points in recent polling aggregates. Historical patterns of midterm losses for the president’s party, combined with an enthusiasm advantage for Democratic voters and multiple Republican retirements, have reinforced expectations of substantial opposition gains in the House and a competitive path in the Senate. These factors underpin the 75 percent implied probability traders currently assign to a Democratic wave outcome in November 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
거래량
$47,454종료일
2026.11.30마켓 개설일
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s approval rating has fallen to around 37-40 percent amid public dissatisfaction with economic conditions and the U.S. military action in Iran, producing a national generic ballot environment in which Democrats lead Republicans by roughly 5 to 8 points in recent polling aggregates. Historical patterns of midterm losses for the president’s party, combined with an enthusiasm advantage for Democratic voters and multiple Republican retirements, have reinforced expectations of substantial opposition gains in the House and a competitive path in the Senate. These factors underpin the 75 percent implied probability traders currently assign to a Democratic wave outcome in November 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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