Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson faces Democratic challenger Eric Jones and several Republican candidates in California's June 2 top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District. The solidly Democratic district, with its strong partisan lean, favors both leading Democrats advancing under the state's top-two system. Thompson's long tenure since 1999 and substantial campaign resources contrast with Jones's self-funded effort and endorsements from progressive groups. Republican candidates remain fragmented with limited fundraising, reducing their chances of placing in the top two. No major developments have shifted the field since the March filing deadline, leaving fundraising totals, voter turnout patterns, and the district's electoral math as primary factors in trader assessments ahead of the vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$35,727 거래량
마이크 톰슨
92%
Eric Jones
92%
로리 맥켄지
4%
John Wesley Tyler
2%
히스 펄커슨
2%
Trevor Merrell
1%
Sharon Brown
<1%
맨디 구사르
<1%
$35,727 거래량
마이크 톰슨
92%
Eric Jones
92%
로리 맥켄지
4%
John Wesley Tyler
2%
히스 펄커슨
2%
Trevor Merrell
1%
Sharon Brown
<1%
맨디 구사르
<1%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson faces Democratic challenger Eric Jones and several Republican candidates in California's June 2 top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District. The solidly Democratic district, with its strong partisan lean, favors both leading Democrats advancing under the state's top-two system. Thompson's long tenure since 1999 and substantial campaign resources contrast with Jones's self-funded effort and endorsements from progressive groups. Republican candidates remain fragmented with limited fundraising, reducing their chances of placing in the top two. No major developments have shifted the field since the March filing deadline, leaving fundraising totals, voter turnout patterns, and the district's electoral math as primary factors in trader assessments ahead of the vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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