Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 94% to win California's 19th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Jimmy Panetta's entrenched position in this D+18 district, where he secured 69% in the 2024 general election against a Republican challenger. Panetta holds a massive fundraising edge with over $4.6 million cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfing challengers like Democrat Sean Dougherty and Republicans Peter Verbica and Tuka Gafari ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics, reinforcing historical Democratic dominance with 65% support in the 2024 presidential vote. An upset would require a Republican topping the primary to face a weakened Democrat, a late scandal, or extraordinary national midterm tailwinds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$19,151 거래량
$19,151 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
5%
$19,151 거래량
$19,151 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$12,108 거래량
94%
공화당
$7,044 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 94% to win California's 19th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Jimmy Panetta's entrenched position in this D+18 district, where he secured 69% in the 2024 general election against a Republican challenger. Panetta holds a massive fundraising edge with over $4.6 million cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfing challengers like Democrat Sean Dougherty and Republicans Peter Verbica and Tuka Gafari ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics, reinforcing historical Democratic dominance with 65% support in the 2024 presidential vote. An upset would require a Republican topping the primary to face a weakened Democrat, a late scandal, or extraordinary national midterm tailwinds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
거래량
$19,151종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 94% to win California's 19th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Jimmy Panetta's entrenched position in this D+18 district, where he secured 69% in the 2024 general election against a Republican challenger. Panetta holds a massive fundraising edge with over $4.6 million cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfing challengers like Democrat Sean Dougherty and Republicans Peter Verbica and Tuka Gafari ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics, reinforcing historical Democratic dominance with 65% support in the 2024 presidential vote. An upset would require a Republican topping the primary to face a weakened Democrat, a late scandal, or extraordinary national midterm tailwinds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$19,151종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 94% to win California's 19th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Jimmy Panetta's entrenched position in this D+18 district, where he secured 69% in the 2024 general election against a Republican challenger. Panetta holds a massive fundraising edge with over $4.6 million cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfing challengers like Democrat Sean Dougherty and Republicans Peter Verbica and Tuka Gafari ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics, reinforcing historical Democratic dominance with 65% support in the 2024 presidential vote. An upset would require a Republican topping the primary to face a weakened Democrat, a late scandal, or extraordinary national midterm tailwinds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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