California's 38th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+10 following redistricting, creating a heavily Democratic electorate with a consistent history of electing Democratic representatives. The open seat features a June 2 top-two primary dominated by multiple Democratic candidates, including Hilda Solis, against a single Republican entrant. Forecasters rate the general election as Solid Democratic, reflecting the district's voter composition and limited GOP infrastructure. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages that have historically produced large Democratic margins in similar California seats. A narrow path for Republican gains would require an unexpected primary outcome, significant national political realignment before November, or late developments that sharply alter turnout patterns in the district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$58,620 거래량
$58,620 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
95%
공화당
2%
$58,620 거래량
$58,620 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$29,182 거래량
95%
공화당
$29,438 거래량
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+10 following redistricting, creating a heavily Democratic electorate with a consistent history of electing Democratic representatives. The open seat features a June 2 top-two primary dominated by multiple Democratic candidates, including Hilda Solis, against a single Republican entrant. Forecasters rate the general election as Solid Democratic, reflecting the district's voter composition and limited GOP infrastructure. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages that have historically produced large Democratic margins in similar California seats. A narrow path for Republican gains would require an unexpected primary outcome, significant national political realignment before November, or late developments that sharply alter turnout patterns in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$58,620종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+10 following redistricting, creating a heavily Democratic electorate with a consistent history of electing Democratic representatives. The open seat features a June 2 top-two primary dominated by multiple Democratic candidates, including Hilda Solis, against a single Republican entrant. Forecasters rate the general election as Solid Democratic, reflecting the district's voter composition and limited GOP infrastructure. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages that have historically produced large Democratic margins in similar California seats. A narrow path for Republican gains would require an unexpected primary outcome, significant national political realignment before November, or late developments that sharply alter turnout patterns in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$58,620종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 38th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+10 following redistricting, creating a heavily Democratic electorate with a consistent history of electing Democratic representatives. The open seat features a June 2 top-two primary dominated by multiple Democratic candidates, including Hilda Solis, against a single Republican entrant. Forecasters rate the general election as Solid Democratic, reflecting the district's voter composition and limited GOP infrastructure. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages that have historically produced large Democratic margins in similar California seats. A narrow path for Republican gains would require an unexpected primary outcome, significant national political realignment before November, or late developments that sharply alter turnout patterns in the district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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