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Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Market icon

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Up

53% 확률
Polymarket
신규

Up

53% 확률
Polymarket
신규
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Statistics Canada reported on March 18 that Canada's population fell by 103,504 to 41,472,081 as of January 1, 2026—the first quarterly year-over-year decline on record since the 1940s—driven by a 171,296 drop in non-permanent residents amid federal cuts to temporary resident targets. The government's 2026-2028 immigration levels plan sets permanent resident admissions at 380,000, down from prior years, with temporary arrivals capped at 385,000, reflecting policy shifts to address housing pressures and economic capacity. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections from February anticipated flat growth for 2026, reinforcing trader consensus that net population will end the year below 2025 levels despite potential upticks in later quarters.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$1,413
종료일
2027.04.30
마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Statistics Canada reported on March 18 that Canada's population fell by 103,504 to 41,472,081 as of January 1, 2026—the first quarterly year-over-year decline on record since the 1940s—driven by a 171,296 drop in non-permanent residents amid federal cuts to temporary resident targets. The government's 2026-2028 immigration levels plan sets permanent resident admissions at 380,000, down from prior years, with temporary arrivals capped at 385,000, reflecting policy shifts to address housing pressures and economic capacity. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections from February anticipated flat growth for 2026, reinforcing trader consensus that net population will end the year below 2025 levels despite potential upticks in later quarters.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$1,413
종료일
2027.04.30
마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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자주 묻는 질문

"Canada's population Up or Down this year?"은 Polymarket의 일일 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 Canada's population Up or Down this year?의 가격이 제목에 명시된 일일 기간 동안 시작 가격보다 높게("Up") 또는 낮게("Down") 끝날지에 대한 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 마켓 확률은 "Down"에 대해 56%입니다. 56% 가격은 마켓이 해당 결과에 56%의 확률을 부여한다는 의미입니다. 가격은 트레이더들이 실시간 Canada's population Up or Down this year? 가격 변동에 반응함에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트됩니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"Canada's population Up or Down this year?"은 Polymarket의 활성 단기 마켓입니다. 일일 기간이 진행됨에 따라 거래량이 빠르게 축적될 수 있습니다 — 이 기간이 종료되기 전에 일찍 참여하여 확률을 설정하세요.

"Canada's population Up or Down this year?"에서 거래하려면 April 29 정오 ET에 Canada's population Up or Down this year?의 가격이 January 27 정오 ET의 Canada's population Up or Down this year? 가격보다 높을("Up") 것인지 낮을("Down") 것인지 결정하세요. 가격이 일일 기준으로 오를 것으로 생각하면 "Up"을 매수하고, 하락할 것으로 생각하면 "Down"을 매수하세요. 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 정산 시 선택한 결과가 맞으면 각 주식은 $1.00을 지급합니다. 틀리면 주식은 $0의 가치입니다.

"Canada's population Up or Down this year?"의 현재 확률은 "Down"에 대해 56%이며, Polymarket 크라우드가 현재 Canada's population Up or Down this year?의 가격이 이 일일 기간 동안 down으로 끝날 확률을 56%로 보고 있음을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 실시간 Canada's population Up or Down this year? 가격 데이터에 반응함에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트됩니다. 하루 종일 확률은 그날의 가격 행동이 전개됨에 따라 변화하는 심리를 반영합니다. 자주 확인하거나 기간이 종료되기 전에 지금 거래하세요.

"Canada's population Up or Down this year?" 마켓은 Binance CANADAS-POPULATION/USDT 1분 캔들 종가를 사용하여 April 29 정오 ET의 Canada's population Up or Down this year? 가격과 January 27 정오 ET의 가격을 비교하여 정산됩니다. April 29 정오 가격이 높으면 "Up", 낮으면 "Down", 같으면 50-50으로 정산됩니다. 이 페이지의 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준과 데이터 출처를 검토할 수 있습니다.