Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 91.3% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement as of mid-April 2026, despite persistent speculation around a 2026 debut. The data and AI platform's recent $5 billion funding round in February, securing a $134 billion private valuation, alongside $1.8 billion in debt financing in January, provides ample runway without public market pressures, allowing focus on scaling its lakehouse architecture and AI agent frameworks amid competitive dynamics with Snowflake and core infrastructure plays. This strong positioning reflects historical IPO timelines—typically requiring 3-6 months post-filing for roadshows—leaving insufficient time for a June listing. Realistic challenges include an unexpected SEC confidential filing surfacing soon, accelerated by booming AI demand or peer listings like OpenAI, though current silence signals caution in a volatile tech IPO window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음 91.3%
2,500억+ 2.3%
1,250억~1,500억 달러 2.1%
1,750–2,000억 1.9%
$371,576 거래량
$371,576 거래량
2026.06.30
<1,000억
1%
1,000억–1,250억 달러
1%
1,250억~1,500억 달러
2%
1,500~1,750억 달러
1%
1,750–2,000억
2%
2,000억~2,500억
1%
2,500억+
2%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음
91%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음 91.3%
2,500억+ 2.3%
1,250억~1,500억 달러 2.1%
1,750–2,000억 1.9%
$371,576 거래량
$371,576 거래량
2026.06.30
<1,000억
$32,445 거래량
1%
1,000억–1,250억 달러
$38,720 거래량
1%
1,250억~1,500억 달러
$25,372 거래량
2%
1,500~1,750억 달러
$59,046 거래량
1%
1,750–2,000억
$57,421 거래량
2%
2,000억~2,500억
$19,385 거래량
1%
2,500억+
$125,380 거래량
2%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음
$13,807 거래량
91%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 91.3% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement as of mid-April 2026, despite persistent speculation around a 2026 debut. The data and AI platform's recent $5 billion funding round in February, securing a $134 billion private valuation, alongside $1.8 billion in debt financing in January, provides ample runway without public market pressures, allowing focus on scaling its lakehouse architecture and AI agent frameworks amid competitive dynamics with Snowflake and core infrastructure plays. This strong positioning reflects historical IPO timelines—typically requiring 3-6 months post-filing for roadshows—leaving insufficient time for a June listing. Realistic challenges include an unexpected SEC confidential filing surfacing soon, accelerated by booming AI demand or peer listings like OpenAI, though current silence signals caution in a volatile tech IPO window.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
거래량
$371,576종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 91.3% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement as of mid-April 2026, despite persistent speculation around a 2026 debut. The data and AI platform's recent $5 billion funding round in February, securing a $134 billion private valuation, alongside $1.8 billion in debt financing in January, provides ample runway without public market pressures, allowing focus on scaling its lakehouse architecture and AI agent frameworks amid competitive dynamics with Snowflake and core infrastructure plays. This strong positioning reflects historical IPO timelines—typically requiring 3-6 months post-filing for roadshows—leaving insufficient time for a June listing. Realistic challenges include an unexpected SEC confidential filing surfacing soon, accelerated by booming AI demand or peer listings like OpenAI, though current silence signals caution in a volatile tech IPO window.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$371,576종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 91.3% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement as of mid-April 2026, despite persistent speculation around a 2026 debut. The data and AI platform's recent $5 billion funding round in February, securing a $134 billion private valuation, alongside $1.8 billion in debt financing in January, provides ample runway without public market pressures, allowing focus on scaling its lakehouse architecture and AI agent frameworks amid competitive dynamics with Snowflake and core infrastructure plays. This strong positioning reflects historical IPO timelines—typically requiring 3-6 months post-filing for roadshows—leaving insufficient time for a June listing. Realistic challenges include an unexpected SEC confidential filing surfacing soon, accelerated by booming AI demand or peer listings like OpenAI, though current silence signals caution in a volatile tech IPO window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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