The European Central Bank's Governing Council kept key interest rates unchanged at its March 19, 2026 meeting, with the deposit facility steady at 2%, amid an upward revision to its 2026 inflation forecast at 2.6%—driven by surging energy prices from Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict. Staff projections now see headline inflation averaging above the 2% target through much of the year, not returning until Q2 2027, while growth was downgraded to 0.9%. Major banks like Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs have abandoned prior rate-cut calls, penciling in potential hikes instead. This hawkish shift, reinforced by recent eurozone inflation hitting 2.5%, underpins trader consensus implying a low likelihood of cuts in 2026, ahead of the next policy decision on April 30.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$25,095 거래량
$25,095 거래량
2026.12.31
$25,095 거래량
$25,095 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The European Central Bank's Governing Council kept key interest rates unchanged at its March 19, 2026 meeting, with the deposit facility steady at 2%, amid an upward revision to its 2026 inflation forecast at 2.6%—driven by surging energy prices from Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict. Staff projections now see headline inflation averaging above the 2% target through much of the year, not returning until Q2 2027, while growth was downgraded to 0.9%. Major banks like Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs have abandoned prior rate-cut calls, penciling in potential hikes instead. This hawkish shift, reinforced by recent eurozone inflation hitting 2.5%, underpins trader consensus implying a low likelihood of cuts in 2026, ahead of the next policy decision on April 30.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
거래량
$25,095종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The European Central Bank's Governing Council kept key interest rates unchanged at its March 19, 2026 meeting, with the deposit facility steady at 2%, amid an upward revision to its 2026 inflation forecast at 2.6%—driven by surging energy prices from Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict. Staff projections now see headline inflation averaging above the 2% target through much of the year, not returning until Q2 2027, while growth was downgraded to 0.9%. Major banks like Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs have abandoned prior rate-cut calls, penciling in potential hikes instead. This hawkish shift, reinforced by recent eurozone inflation hitting 2.5%, underpins trader consensus implying a low likelihood of cuts in 2026, ahead of the next policy decision on April 30.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$25,095종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The European Central Bank's Governing Council kept key interest rates unchanged at its March 19, 2026 meeting, with the deposit facility steady at 2%, amid an upward revision to its 2026 inflation forecast at 2.6%—driven by surging energy prices from Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict. Staff projections now see headline inflation averaging above the 2% target through much of the year, not returning until Q2 2027, while growth was downgraded to 0.9%. Major banks like Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs have abandoned prior rate-cut calls, penciling in potential hikes instead. This hawkish shift, reinforced by recent eurozone inflation hitting 2.5%, underpins trader consensus implying a low likelihood of cuts in 2026, ahead of the next policy decision on April 30.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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