As artist rehearsals kick off next week in Vienna ahead of the May 12 First Semi-Final at Wiener Stadthalle, trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors qualification for Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete, Greece, Sweden's Felicia with "My System," Israel, and Moldova's Satoshi leading the 15-country lineup drawn in January. The April 2 running order reveal boosted Serbia's Lavina as a strong closer and highlighted potential televote blocks for Croatia's Lelek and Montenegro amid Balkan voting dynamics. Recent national final wins, like Romania's Alexandra Căpitănescu though in Semi 2, underscore solid entries, but live stagings and jury previews could spark shifts before the top 10 advance via combined jury and public votes to the May 16 Grand Final.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트유로비전 2026: 첫 준결승
유로비전 2026: 첫 준결승
$466,249 거래량
2026.05.12
핀란드
98%
스웨덴
98%
그리스
97%
이스라엘
92%
몰도바
88%
세르비아
80%
크로아티아
77%
리투아니아
69%
몬테네그로
63%
폴란드
43%
포르투갈
39%
에스토니아
36%
조지아
35%
벨기에
28%
산마리노
18%
$466,249 거래량
핀란드
$334,114 거래량
98%
스웨덴
$2,451 거래량
98%
그리스
$5,029 거래량
97%
이스라엘
$19,679 거래량
92%
몰도바
$11,747 거래량
88%
세르비아
$6,229 거래량
80%
크로아티아
$7,975 거래량
77%
리투아니아
$2,899 거래량
69%
몬테네그로
$6,180 거래량
63%
폴란드
$8,948 거래량
43%
포르투갈
$34,645 거래량
39%
에스토니아
$6,915 거래량
36%
조지아
$2,182 거래량
35%
벨기에
$9,885 거래량
28%
산마리노
$7,370 거래량
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.As artist rehearsals kick off next week in Vienna ahead of the May 12 First Semi-Final at Wiener Stadthalle, trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors qualification for Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete, Greece, Sweden's Felicia with "My System," Israel, and Moldova's Satoshi leading the 15-country lineup drawn in January. The April 2 running order reveal boosted Serbia's Lavina as a strong closer and highlighted potential televote blocks for Croatia's Lelek and Montenegro amid Balkan voting dynamics. Recent national final wins, like Romania's Alexandra Căpitănescu though in Semi 2, underscore solid entries, but live stagings and jury previews could spark shifts before the top 10 advance via combined jury and public votes to the May 16 Grand Final.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
마켓 개설일: Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
거래량
$466,249종료일
2026.05.12마켓 개설일
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.As artist rehearsals kick off next week in Vienna ahead of the May 12 First Semi-Final at Wiener Stadthalle, trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors qualification for Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete, Greece, Sweden's Felicia with "My System," Israel, and Moldova's Satoshi leading the 15-country lineup drawn in January. The April 2 running order reveal boosted Serbia's Lavina as a strong closer and highlighted potential televote blocks for Croatia's Lelek and Montenegro amid Balkan voting dynamics. Recent national final wins, like Romania's Alexandra Căpitănescu though in Semi 2, underscore solid entries, but live stagings and jury previews could spark shifts before the top 10 advance via combined jury and public votes to the May 16 Grand Final.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
거래량
$466,249종료일
2026.05.12마켓 개설일
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As artist rehearsals kick off next week in Vienna ahead of the May 12 First Semi-Final at Wiener Stadthalle, trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors qualification for Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete, Greece, Sweden's Felicia with "My System," Israel, and Moldova's Satoshi leading the 15-country lineup drawn in January. The April 2 running order reveal boosted Serbia's Lavina as a strong closer and highlighted potential televote blocks for Croatia's Lelek and Montenegro amid Balkan voting dynamics. Recent national final wins, like Romania's Alexandra Căpitănescu though in Semi 2, underscore solid entries, but live stagings and jury previews could spark shifts before the top 10 advance via combined jury and public votes to the May 16 Grand Final.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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