**Evo Morales remains at large in Bolivia's Chapare region under an active arrest warrant tied to human trafficking charges.** A Tarija court reissued the warrant in May 2026 after he skipped the start of his trial on allegations that he impregnated a minor while president; proceedings are now suspended pending his appearance or detention. Morales and his legal team have framed the case as political persecution, while supporters in coca-growing areas have repeatedly blocked enforcement attempts. Ongoing 2026 protests and road blockades, in which Morales has played a visible mobilizing role amid economic discontent and clashes with security forces, add layers of political risk to any arrest operation. The government's ability to execute the warrant depends on navigating strong local resistance, potential broader unrest, and institutional dynamics within the justice system. No major new legal developments or court dates have shifted the situation in the immediate weeks prior to mid-June 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$39,995 거래량
2026.06.30
June 30
14%
$39,995 거래량
June 30
$2,238 거래량
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Evo Morales remains at large in Bolivia's Chapare region under an active arrest warrant tied to human trafficking charges.** A Tarija court reissued the warrant in May 2026 after he skipped the start of his trial on allegations that he impregnated a minor while president; proceedings are now suspended pending his appearance or detention. Morales and his legal team have framed the case as political persecution, while supporters in coca-growing areas have repeatedly blocked enforcement attempts.
Ongoing 2026 protests and road blockades, in which Morales has played a visible mobilizing role amid economic discontent and clashes with security forces, add layers of political risk to any arrest operation. The government's ability to execute the warrant depends on navigating strong local resistance, potential broader unrest, and institutional dynamics within the justice system. No major new legal developments or court dates have shifted the situation in the immediate weeks prior to mid-June 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: May 20, 2026, 10:40 PM ET
거래량
$39,995종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
May 20, 2026, 10:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Evo Morales remains at large in Bolivia's Chapare region under an active arrest warrant tied to human trafficking charges.** A Tarija court reissued the warrant in May 2026 after he skipped the start of his trial on allegations that he impregnated a minor while president; proceedings are now suspended pending his appearance or detention. Morales and his legal team have framed the case as political persecution, while supporters in coca-growing areas have repeatedly blocked enforcement attempts.
Ongoing 2026 protests and road blockades, in which Morales has played a visible mobilizing role amid economic discontent and clashes with security forces, add layers of political risk to any arrest operation. The government's ability to execute the warrant depends on navigating strong local resistance, potential broader unrest, and institutional dynamics within the justice system. No major new legal developments or court dates have shifted the situation in the immediate weeks prior to mid-June 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$39,995종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
May 20, 2026, 10:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Evo Morales remains at large in Bolivia's Chapare region under an active arrest warrant tied to human trafficking charges.** A Tarija court reissued the warrant in May 2026 after he skipped the start of his trial on allegations that he impregnated a minor while president; proceedings are now suspended pending his appearance or detention. Morales and his legal team have framed the case as political persecution, while supporters in coca-growing areas have repeatedly blocked enforcement attempts. Ongoing 2026 protests and road blockades, in which Morales has played a visible mobilizing role amid economic discontent and clashes with security forces, add layers of political risk to any arrest operation. The government's ability to execute the warrant depends on navigating strong local resistance, potential broader unrest, and institutional dynamics within the justice system. No major new legal developments or court dates have shifted the situation in the immediate weeks prior to mid-June 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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