Trader consensus prices USA slightly ahead at 39% implied probability to win Group D over the bundled KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR outcome—now resolved to Turkey—at 38.5%, reflecting a razor-thin race driven by yesterday's USMNT turmoil: sporting director Matt Crocker's abrupt resignation to Saudi Arabia and forward Patrick Agyemang's Achilles injury ruling him out of the tournament, eroding home advantage for their June 12 opener against Paraguay at SoFi Stadium. Turkey's stars sharpened a fluid 4-3-3 in U.S. camp, boosting their counterattacking threat with Premier League and Serie A talent like Hakan Çalhanoğlu, while Paraguay drilled set-piece counters under Gustavo Alfaro and Australia unveiled new kits amid high-energy sessions. Paraguay's grit trails at 17%, Australia's form lags at 7.1%, underscoring the hosts' vulnerabilities keeping this group stage showdown fiercely contested.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR 39%
USA 37%
Paraguay 17%
Australia 7.1%
$27,062 거래량
$27,062 거래량
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR
39%
USA
37%
Paraguay
17%
Australia
7%
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR 39%
USA 37%
Paraguay 17%
Australia 7.1%
$27,062 거래량
$27,062 거래량
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR
39%
USA
37%
Paraguay
17%
Australia
7%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices USA slightly ahead at 39% implied probability to win Group D over the bundled KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR outcome—now resolved to Turkey—at 38.5%, reflecting a razor-thin race driven by yesterday's USMNT turmoil: sporting director Matt Crocker's abrupt resignation to Saudi Arabia and forward Patrick Agyemang's Achilles injury ruling him out of the tournament, eroding home advantage for their June 12 opener against Paraguay at SoFi Stadium. Turkey's stars sharpened a fluid 4-3-3 in U.S. camp, boosting their counterattacking threat with Premier League and Serie A talent like Hakan Çalhanoğlu, while Paraguay drilled set-piece counters under Gustavo Alfaro and Australia unveiled new kits amid high-energy sessions. Paraguay's grit trails at 17%, Australia's form lags at 7.1%, underscoring the hosts' vulnerabilities keeping this group stage showdown fiercely contested.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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