Trader consensus favors Netherlands at 53.5% implied probability to win Group F, reflecting their top seeding, FIFA ranking around 5th, and star-studded squad led by Virgil van Dijk and Cody Gakpo under Ronald Koeman, bolstered by strong recent friendlies and full injury-free camp readiness. Japan holds 27.5% as a competitive challenger, buoyed by consistent AFC qualification dominance, technical midfield creativity from Takehiro Tomiyasu and Ayase Ueda, and tactical evolution since 2022. The UEFA Path B playoff winner—Sweden, confirmed via their 3-1 upset over Ukraine and subsequent victory against Poland on March 31—earns 13.5% for their physicality and Viktor Gyökeres' form, while Tunisia lingers at 4.2% as gritty underdogs reliant on counter-attacks despite solid CAF path. No major injuries or withdrawals reported in the past week.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트네덜란드 54%
일본 28%
알바니아/폴란드/스웨덴/우크라이나 14%
튀니지 4.2%
$78,470 거래량
$78,470 거래량
네덜란드
54%
일본
28%
알바니아/폴란드/스웨덴/우크라이나
14%
튀니지
4%
네덜란드 54%
일본 28%
알바니아/폴란드/스웨덴/우크라이나 14%
튀니지 4.2%
$78,470 거래량
$78,470 거래량
네덜란드
54%
일본
28%
알바니아/폴란드/스웨덴/우크라이나
14%
튀니지
4%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Netherlands at 53.5% implied probability to win Group F, reflecting their top seeding, FIFA ranking around 5th, and star-studded squad led by Virgil van Dijk and Cody Gakpo under Ronald Koeman, bolstered by strong recent friendlies and full injury-free camp readiness. Japan holds 27.5% as a competitive challenger, buoyed by consistent AFC qualification dominance, technical midfield creativity from Takehiro Tomiyasu and Ayase Ueda, and tactical evolution since 2022. The UEFA Path B playoff winner—Sweden, confirmed via their 3-1 upset over Ukraine and subsequent victory against Poland on March 31—earns 13.5% for their physicality and Viktor Gyökeres' form, while Tunisia lingers at 4.2% as gritty underdogs reliant on counter-attacks despite solid CAF path. No major injuries or withdrawals reported in the past week.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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