Trader consensus favors Netherlands at 53.5% implied probability to win Group F, reflecting their top-seed status, three-time World Cup final appearances, and dominant qualifying campaign led by stars like Virgil van Dijk and Frenkie de Jong under Ronald Koeman's vertical passing system refined in recent Orlando training sessions. Japan holds 27.5% as a competitive contender, bolstered by consistent knockout-stage runs, Hajime Moriyasu's counter-attacking structure, and a confirmed May 15 squad announcement amid clean injury reports. The UEFA Playoff B winner (ALB/POL/SWE/UKR) at 13.5% carries European upside but uncertainty post-playoffs, while Tunisia lags at 4.2% despite defensive grit shown in qualifiers, with recent Miami recovery sessions signaling full fitness but limited attacking threat in this stacked group ahead of the June 14 opener at AT&T Stadium.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트네덜란드 54%
일본 28%
알바니아/폴란드/스웨덴/우크라이나 14%
튀니지 4.2%
$78,635 거래량
$78,635 거래량
네덜란드
54%
일본
28%
알바니아/폴란드/스웨덴/우크라이나
14%
튀니지
4%
네덜란드 54%
일본 28%
알바니아/폴란드/스웨덴/우크라이나 14%
튀니지 4.2%
$78,635 거래량
$78,635 거래량
네덜란드
54%
일본
28%
알바니아/폴란드/스웨덴/우크라이나
14%
튀니지
4%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Netherlands at 53.5% implied probability to win Group F, reflecting their top-seed status, three-time World Cup final appearances, and dominant qualifying campaign led by stars like Virgil van Dijk and Frenkie de Jong under Ronald Koeman's vertical passing system refined in recent Orlando training sessions. Japan holds 27.5% as a competitive contender, bolstered by consistent knockout-stage runs, Hajime Moriyasu's counter-attacking structure, and a confirmed May 15 squad announcement amid clean injury reports. The UEFA Playoff B winner (ALB/POL/SWE/UKR) at 13.5% carries European upside but uncertainty post-playoffs, while Tunisia lags at 4.2% despite defensive grit shown in qualifiers, with recent Miami recovery sessions signaling full fitness but limited attacking threat in this stacked group ahead of the June 14 opener at AT&T Stadium.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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