France's overwhelming squad depth, anchored by Kylian Mbappé's pace and recent March friendly dominance—featuring sharp interplay from Dembélé, Thuram, and bench threats like Cherki and Doué—drives trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability to win Group I ahead of Norway, Senegal, and Iraq. Norway's 23.5% reflects Erling Haaland's lethal finishing and Ødegaard's creativity, amplified by their final group fixture against France offering a direct path to top the table if results align. Senegal lingers at 6% on Sadio Mané's experience and CAF qualification strength, though an aging roster tempers expectations versus elite attacks; Iraq's playoff path underscores the 0.3% catch-all for minnows. Pre-tournament previews highlight this "group of death" dynamics, with top-two advancement fueling tight positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트프랑스 71%
노르웨이 24%
세네갈 6%
볼/이라크/수리남 <1%
$108,026 거래량
$108,026 거래량
프랑스
71%
노르웨이
24%
세네갈
6%
볼/이라크/수리남
<1%
프랑스 71%
노르웨이 24%
세네갈 6%
볼/이라크/수리남 <1%
$108,026 거래량
$108,026 거래량
프랑스
71%
노르웨이
24%
세네갈
6%
볼/이라크/수리남
<1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France's overwhelming squad depth, anchored by Kylian Mbappé's pace and recent March friendly dominance—featuring sharp interplay from Dembélé, Thuram, and bench threats like Cherki and Doué—drives trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability to win Group I ahead of Norway, Senegal, and Iraq. Norway's 23.5% reflects Erling Haaland's lethal finishing and Ødegaard's creativity, amplified by their final group fixture against France offering a direct path to top the table if results align. Senegal lingers at 6% on Sadio Mané's experience and CAF qualification strength, though an aging roster tempers expectations versus elite attacks; Iraq's playoff path underscores the 0.3% catch-all for minnows. Pre-tournament previews highlight this "group of death" dynamics, with top-two advancement fueling tight positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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