Incumbent U.S. Rep. Randy Fine leads trader consensus at 67.5% implied probability in the FL-06 Republican primary due to his incumbency advantage following a 2025 special election win, strong fundraising, and establishment backing, including prior Trump endorsement. High-profile challenger Dan Bilzerian's filing last week—coupled with his social media influence and sharp criticisms of Fine's pro-Israel stance as "treason" amid Iran tensions—has boosted his odds to 27%, reflecting buzz among anti-interventionist voters. Charles Gambaro trails at 5.1% after a recent local endorsement, while others lag. No public polls yet; the August 18 primary remains months away, with early momentum favoring Fine's path-to-victory in this conservative district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트랜디 파인 65%
댄 빌저리언 34%
찰스 감바로 5.2%
Ernest Audino 1.0%
$17,665 거래량
$17,665 거래량
랜디 파인
65%
댄 빌저리언
34%
찰스 감바로
5%
Ernest Audino
1%
아론 베이커
1%
알렉산드라 반 클리프
<1%
조슈아 바스케스
<1%
랜디 파인 65%
댄 빌저리언 34%
찰스 감바로 5.2%
Ernest Audino 1.0%
$17,665 거래량
$17,665 거래량
랜디 파인
65%
댄 빌저리언
34%
찰스 감바로
5%
Ernest Audino
1%
아론 베이커
1%
알렉산드라 반 클리프
<1%
조슈아 바스케스
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent U.S. Rep. Randy Fine leads trader consensus at 67.5% implied probability in the FL-06 Republican primary due to his incumbency advantage following a 2025 special election win, strong fundraising, and establishment backing, including prior Trump endorsement. High-profile challenger Dan Bilzerian's filing last week—coupled with his social media influence and sharp criticisms of Fine's pro-Israel stance as "treason" amid Iran tensions—has boosted his odds to 27%, reflecting buzz among anti-interventionist voters. Charles Gambaro trails at 5.1% after a recent local endorsement, while others lag. No public polls yet; the August 18 primary remains months away, with early momentum favoring Fine's path-to-victory in this conservative district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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