Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin, unopposed in the August 18 primary, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% for a GOP hold in Florida's 18th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+14 partisan voter index. Franklin's 65%-35% reelection victory in 2024 over Democrat Andrea Kale, in a district that backed Trump by 29 points, underscores his dominance amid challengers Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong in the Democratic primary, plus no-party candidate Deva Simmons, who holds minimal cash on hand compared to Franklin's $615,000. No polls exist yet, but recent Democratic wins in state special elections signal statewide momentum that has yet to impact this inland conservative stronghold ahead of the November 3 general. Late scandals or a national Democratic wave could shift odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$4,867 거래량
90%
Democratic Party
$4,869 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin, unopposed in the August 18 primary, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% for a GOP hold in Florida's 18th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+14 partisan voter index. Franklin's 65%-35% reelection victory in 2024 over Democrat Andrea Kale, in a district that backed Trump by 29 points, underscores his dominance amid challengers Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong in the Democratic primary, plus no-party candidate Deva Simmons, who holds minimal cash on hand compared to Franklin's $615,000. No polls exist yet, but recent Democratic wins in state special elections signal statewide momentum that has yet to impact this inland conservative stronghold ahead of the November 3 general. Late scandals or a national Democratic wave could shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
거래량
$9,736종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin, unopposed in the August 18 primary, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% for a GOP hold in Florida's 18th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+14 partisan voter index. Franklin's 65%-35% reelection victory in 2024 over Democrat Andrea Kale, in a district that backed Trump by 29 points, underscores his dominance amid challengers Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong in the Democratic primary, plus no-party candidate Deva Simmons, who holds minimal cash on hand compared to Franklin's $615,000. No polls exist yet, but recent Democratic wins in state special elections signal statewide momentum that has yet to impact this inland conservative stronghold ahead of the November 3 general. Late scandals or a national Democratic wave could shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$9,736종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin, unopposed in the August 18 primary, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% for a GOP hold in Florida's 18th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+14 partisan voter index. Franklin's 65%-35% reelection victory in 2024 over Democrat Andrea Kale, in a district that backed Trump by 29 points, underscores his dominance amid challengers Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong in the Democratic primary, plus no-party candidate Deva Simmons, who holds minimal cash on hand compared to Franklin's $615,000. No polls exist yet, but recent Democratic wins in state special elections signal statewide momentum that has yet to impact this inland conservative stronghold ahead of the November 3 general. Late scandals or a national Democratic wave could shift odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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