The open seat created by Florida’s late-April redistricting, which shifted district lines across Broward and Palm Beach counties and prompted Rep. Lois Frankel to run elsewhere, has shaped trader consensus for the November 2026 general election. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have entered alongside several Republican contenders, including self-funded entrants whose support has not yet consolidated ahead of the August 18 primaries. Expert race ratings classify the district as leaning or tilting Republican, yet the market’s slight Democratic edge at 51.5 percent reflects the absence of an incumbent and uncertainty over which nominee from either side will emerge strongest in the new boundaries.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,375 거래량
$14,375 거래량
Democratic Party
52%
Republican Party
40%
$14,375 거래량
$14,375 거래량
Democratic Party
52%
Republican Party
40%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by Florida’s late-April redistricting, which shifted district lines across Broward and Palm Beach counties and prompted Rep. Lois Frankel to run elsewhere, has shaped trader consensus for the November 2026 general election. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have entered alongside several Republican contenders, including self-funded entrants whose support has not yet consolidated ahead of the August 18 primaries. Expert race ratings classify the district as leaning or tilting Republican, yet the market’s slight Democratic edge at 51.5 percent reflects the absence of an incumbent and uncertainty over which nominee from either side will emerge strongest in the new boundaries.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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