Lois Frankel’s commanding position in the FL-23 Democratic primary stems from her incumbency and the May 2026 redistricting that placed most of her prior Palm Beach County constituents into the new, strongly Democratic district. She filed to run there shortly after the map’s enactment and holds substantial fundraising and name recognition advantages over challengers. Oliver Larkin has campaigned actively but trails significantly in visibility and resources, while Victoria Doyle’s long-standing progressive bid and Jared Moskowitz’s shift to another district limit their viability. The August 18 primary remains months away, leaving room for late developments to influence the outcome.