Current AEMET and ensemble forecasts indicate a maximum of 36–37°C in Madrid on June 19 under persistent high pressure and warm southerly flow, positioning these outcomes as the market leaders with combined implied probability above 80%. Clear skies and light winds favor strong daytime heating, while climatological baselines for mid-June (average highs near 30–32°C) show this event running several degrees above normal. Minor model spread around peak values, plus slight uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects, keeps 35°C and 38°C as secondary possibilities. Updated guidance expected overnight from AEMET and ECMWF runs will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Madrid on June 19?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 19?
36°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$98,361 거래량
$98,361 거래량
2026.06.19
33°C or below
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$98,361 거래량
$98,361 거래량
2026.06.19
33°C or below
$3,557 거래량
No
34°C
$11,151 거래량
No
35°C
$17,412 거래량
No
36°C
$23,954 거래량
Yes
37°C
$19,890 거래량
No
38°C
$16,121 거래량
No
39°C
$4,489 거래량
No
40°C
$1,180 거래량
No
41°C
$150 거래량
No
42°C
$150 거래량
No
43°C or higher
$306 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current AEMET and ensemble forecasts indicate a maximum of 36–37°C in Madrid on June 19 under persistent high pressure and warm southerly flow, positioning these outcomes as the market leaders with combined implied probability above 80%. Clear skies and light winds favor strong daytime heating, while climatological baselines for mid-June (average highs near 30–32°C) show this event running several degrees above normal. Minor model spread around peak values, plus slight uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects, keeps 35°C and 38°C as secondary possibilities. Updated guidance expected overnight from AEMET and ECMWF runs will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 17, 2026, 3:17 AM ET
거래량
$98,361종료일
2026.06.19마켓 개설일
Jun 17, 2026, 3:17 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current AEMET and ensemble forecasts indicate a maximum of 36–37°C in Madrid on June 19 under persistent high pressure and warm southerly flow, positioning these outcomes as the market leaders with combined implied probability above 80%. Clear skies and light winds favor strong daytime heating, while climatological baselines for mid-June (average highs near 30–32°C) show this event running several degrees above normal. Minor model spread around peak values, plus slight uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects, keeps 35°C and 38°C as secondary possibilities. Updated guidance expected overnight from AEMET and ECMWF runs will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$98,361종료일
2026.06.19마켓 개설일
Jun 17, 2026, 3:17 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Current AEMET and ensemble forecasts indicate a maximum of 36–37°C in Madrid on June 19 under persistent high pressure and warm southerly flow, positioning these outcomes as the market leaders with combined implied probability above 80%. Clear skies and light winds favor strong daytime heating, while climatological baselines for mid-June (average highs near 30–32°C) show this event running several degrees above normal. Minor model spread around peak values, plus slight uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects, keeps 35°C and 38°C as secondary possibilities. Updated guidance expected overnight from AEMET and ECMWF runs will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문