Recent April ISM Services PMI data at 53.6, down from March's 54.0 amid sharply lower new orders and a second month of employment contraction, has kept trader consensus evenly split across multiple ranges near 50–55. Persistent inflation pressures from Middle East energy costs and tariffs, alongside mixed labor market signals, sustain uncertainty ahead of the June 3 release. These factors create competitive dynamics where modest shifts in business activity or prices could tip outcomes, with market-implied odds capturing real-capital bets on whether expansion moderates further or stabilizes near recent averages.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트55.0+ 94%
50.0–50.9 47%
52.0–52.9 47%
48.0–48.9 45%
<47.0
3%
47.0–47.9
37%
48.0–48.9
45%
49.0–49.9
47%
50.0–50.9
47%
51.0–51.9
22%
52.0–52.9
47%
53.0–53.9
42%
54.0–54.9
47%
55.0+
94%
55.0+ 94%
50.0–50.9 47%
52.0–52.9 47%
48.0–48.9 45%
<47.0
3%
47.0–47.9
37%
48.0–48.9
45%
49.0–49.9
47%
50.0–50.9
47%
51.0–51.9
22%
52.0–52.9
47%
53.0–53.9
42%
54.0–54.9
47%
55.0+
94%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
마켓 개설일: May 28, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April ISM Services PMI data at 53.6, down from March's 54.0 amid sharply lower new orders and a second month of employment contraction, has kept trader consensus evenly split across multiple ranges near 50–55. Persistent inflation pressures from Middle East energy costs and tariffs, alongside mixed labor market signals, sustain uncertainty ahead of the June 3 release. These factors create competitive dynamics where modest shifts in business activity or prices could tip outcomes, with market-implied odds capturing real-capital bets on whether expansion moderates further or stabilizes near recent averages.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문