Jack Doherty’s arrest last November on felony amphetamine possession, misdemeanor marijuana possession, and resisting arrest without violence has produced only modest market movement toward prison time. As a first-time, non-violent offender facing charges that Florida courts routinely resolve with probation or short county jail rather than state prison, traders see an 88 percent chance of no incarceration. The case remains in pretrial proceedings with a sentencing horizon extending into late 2026, leaving room for a plea that avoids prison entirely. Recent volume spikes on the sub-two-year outcome reflect modest hedging ahead of any plea hearing or status update, yet the overwhelming consensus continues to price in the low likelihood that these specific charges will result in meaningful prison time for a defendant of Doherty’s profile.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트잭 도허티 교도소 시간?
잭 도허티 교도소 시간?
징역 없음 88.0%
2년 미만 10.7%
5년 이상 2.3%
2~5년 1.7%
$20,532 거래량
$20,532 거래량
2026.10.31
징역 없음
88%
2년 미만
11%
2~5년
2%
5년 이상
2%
징역 없음 88.0%
2년 미만 10.7%
5년 이상 2.3%
2~5년 1.7%
$20,532 거래량
$20,532 거래량
2026.10.31
징역 없음
$12,490 거래량
88%
2년 미만
$3,065 거래량
11%
2~5년
$1,961 거래량
2%
5년 이상
$3,017 거래량
2%
YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jack Doherty’s arrest last November on felony amphetamine possession, misdemeanor marijuana possession, and resisting arrest without violence has produced only modest market movement toward prison time. As a first-time, non-violent offender facing charges that Florida courts routinely resolve with probation or short county jail rather than state prison, traders see an 88 percent chance of no incarceration. The case remains in pretrial proceedings with a sentencing horizon extending into late 2026, leaving room for a plea that avoids prison entirely. Recent volume spikes on the sub-two-year outcome reflect modest hedging ahead of any plea hearing or status update, yet the overwhelming consensus continues to price in the low likelihood that these specific charges will result in meaningful prison time for a defendant of Doherty’s profile.
YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
거래량
$20,532종료일
2026.10.31마켓 개설일
Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jack Doherty’s arrest last November on felony amphetamine possession, misdemeanor marijuana possession, and resisting arrest without violence has produced only modest market movement toward prison time. As a first-time, non-violent offender facing charges that Florida courts routinely resolve with probation or short county jail rather than state prison, traders see an 88 percent chance of no incarceration. The case remains in pretrial proceedings with a sentencing horizon extending into late 2026, leaving room for a plea that avoids prison entirely. Recent volume spikes on the sub-two-year outcome reflect modest hedging ahead of any plea hearing or status update, yet the overwhelming consensus continues to price in the low likelihood that these specific charges will result in meaningful prison time for a defendant of Doherty’s profile.
YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$20,532종료일
2026.10.31마켓 개설일
Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jack Doherty’s arrest last November on felony amphetamine possession, misdemeanor marijuana possession, and resisting arrest without violence has produced only modest market movement toward prison time. As a first-time, non-violent offender facing charges that Florida courts routinely resolve with probation or short county jail rather than state prison, traders see an 88 percent chance of no incarceration. The case remains in pretrial proceedings with a sentencing horizon extending into late 2026, leaving room for a plea that avoids prison entirely. Recent volume spikes on the sub-two-year outcome reflect modest hedging ahead of any plea hearing or status update, yet the overwhelming consensus continues to price in the low likelihood that these specific charges will result in meaningful prison time for a defendant of Doherty’s profile.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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