Trader consensus prices an 88% implied probability against Kristi Noem's impeachment in 2026, reflecting the collapse of early-year momentum following her March 2026 firing as DHS Secretary. House Democrats introduced articles of impeachment in January over controversies including ICE operations in Minnesota, a $220 million ad campaign, and related oversight testimony, securing cosponsors from three-fourths of their caucus but stalling amid Republican majorities in both chambers. Her removal by President Trump shifted focus to a March 16 congressional referral to the DOJ for alleged perjury, a criminal matter outside impeachment jurisdiction. Absent new scandals or office reinstatement, no floor votes or Senate proceedings have advanced, underscoring structural barriers to conviction.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$17,340 거래량
$17,340 거래량
2026.12.31
$17,340 거래량
$17,340 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus prices an 88% implied probability against Kristi Noem's impeachment in 2026, reflecting the collapse of early-year momentum following her March 2026 firing as DHS Secretary. House Democrats introduced articles of impeachment in January over controversies including ICE operations in Minnesota, a $220 million ad campaign, and related oversight testimony, securing cosponsors from three-fourths of their caucus but stalling amid Republican majorities in both chambers. Her removal by President Trump shifted focus to a March 16 congressional referral to the DOJ for alleged perjury, a criminal matter outside impeachment jurisdiction. Absent new scandals or office reinstatement, no floor votes or Senate proceedings have advanced, underscoring structural barriers to conviction.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ET
거래량
$17,340종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus prices an 88% implied probability against Kristi Noem's impeachment in 2026, reflecting the collapse of early-year momentum following her March 2026 firing as DHS Secretary. House Democrats introduced articles of impeachment in January over controversies including ICE operations in Minnesota, a $220 million ad campaign, and related oversight testimony, securing cosponsors from three-fourths of their caucus but stalling amid Republican majorities in both chambers. Her removal by President Trump shifted focus to a March 16 congressional referral to the DOJ for alleged perjury, a criminal matter outside impeachment jurisdiction. Absent new scandals or office reinstatement, no floor votes or Senate proceedings have advanced, underscoring structural barriers to conviction.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
거래량
$17,340종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices an 88% implied probability against Kristi Noem's impeachment in 2026, reflecting the collapse of early-year momentum following her March 2026 firing as DHS Secretary. House Democrats introduced articles of impeachment in January over controversies including ICE operations in Minnesota, a $220 million ad campaign, and related oversight testimony, securing cosponsors from three-fourths of their caucus but stalling amid Republican majorities in both chambers. Her removal by President Trump shifted focus to a March 16 congressional referral to the DOJ for alleged perjury, a criminal matter outside impeachment jurisdiction. Absent new scandals or office reinstatement, no floor votes or Senate proceedings have advanced, underscoring structural barriers to conviction.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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