Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, including the February 2026 Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan uniting PDKI, PAK, PJAK, and others, have coordinated around regime change and Kurdish self-determination framed as autonomy or federal rights inside a unified Iran. Their public statements and planning documents emphasize democratic transition, local administration during any post-regime period, and cooperation with broader opposition rather than territorial secession or assertion of independent statehood. Ongoing Iranian security control, regional state opposition to fragmentation, and limited armed capacity have prevented any formal declaration of governing authority over separate territory ahead of the June 30, 2026 resolution window. Trader consensus at 97.8% for No reflects these structural and stated priorities, though sudden regime fragmentation or external military backing could still create conditions for a shift.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$144,382 거래량
$144,382 거래량
2026.06.30
예
$144,382 거래량
$144,382 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, including the February 2026 Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan uniting PDKI, PAK, PJAK, and others, have coordinated around regime change and Kurdish self-determination framed as autonomy or federal rights inside a unified Iran. Their public statements and planning documents emphasize democratic transition, local administration during any post-regime period, and cooperation with broader opposition rather than territorial secession or assertion of independent statehood. Ongoing Iranian security control, regional state opposition to fragmentation, and limited armed capacity have prevented any formal declaration of governing authority over separate territory ahead of the June 30, 2026 resolution window. Trader consensus at 97.8% for No reflects these structural and stated priorities, though sudden regime fragmentation or external military backing could still create conditions for a shift.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Mar 3, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
거래량
$144,382종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Mar 3, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, including the February 2026 Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan uniting PDKI, PAK, PJAK, and others, have coordinated around regime change and Kurdish self-determination framed as autonomy or federal rights inside a unified Iran. Their public statements and planning documents emphasize democratic transition, local administration during any post-regime period, and cooperation with broader opposition rather than territorial secession or assertion of independent statehood. Ongoing Iranian security control, regional state opposition to fragmentation, and limited armed capacity have prevented any formal declaration of governing authority over separate territory ahead of the June 30, 2026 resolution window. Trader consensus at 97.8% for No reflects these structural and stated priorities, though sudden regime fragmentation or external military backing could still create conditions for a shift.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$144,382종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Mar 3, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, including the February 2026 Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan uniting PDKI, PAK, PJAK, and others, have coordinated around regime change and Kurdish self-determination framed as autonomy or federal rights inside a unified Iran. Their public statements and planning documents emphasize democratic transition, local administration during any post-regime period, and cooperation with broader opposition rather than territorial secession or assertion of independent statehood. Ongoing Iranian security control, regional state opposition to fragmentation, and limited armed capacity have prevented any formal declaration of governing authority over separate territory ahead of the June 30, 2026 resolution window. Trader consensus at 97.8% for No reflects these structural and stated priorities, though sudden regime fragmentation or external military backing could still create conditions for a shift.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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