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icon for LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

icon for LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

Nithya Raman 100.0%

Spencer Pratt <1%

Karen Bass <1%

Rick Caruso <1%

Polymarket

$860,570 거래량

Nithya Raman 100.0%

Spencer Pratt <1%

Karen Bass <1%

Rick Caruso <1%

Polymarket

$860,570 거래량

icon for Karen Bass

Karen Bass

$109,299 거래량

No

icon for Rick Caruso

Rick Caruso

$2,962 거래량

No

icon for Asaad Alnajjar

Asaad Alnajjar

$3,125 거래량

No

icon for Gina Viola

Gina Viola

$5,167 거래량

No

icon for Spencer Pratt

Spencer Pratt

$305,375 거래량

No

icon for Austin Beutner

Austin Beutner

$4,227 거래량

No

icon for Lindsey Horvath

Lindsey Horvath

$3,287 거래량

No

icon for Monica Rodriguez

Monica Rodriguez

$2,338 거래량

No

icon for Rae Huang

Rae Huang

$2,823 거래량

No

icon for Nithya Raman

Nithya Raman

$419,435 거래량

Yes

icon for Adam Miller

Adam Miller

$2,533 거래량

No

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass leads the June 2 nonpartisan primary for Los Angeles mayor while City Councilmember Nithya Raman has secured second place after overtaking Spencer Pratt in ongoing mail-ballot counts. With over 90 percent of votes tabulated, official projections from multiple outlets confirm Bass and Raman will advance to the November runoff. Raman's late surge in remaining ballots, driven by stronger performance among progressive and Democratic-leaning voters, established the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing. Late-arriving ballots or an unforeseen recount could theoretically alter the exact ordering, though historical patterns in California municipal elections make such reversals improbable at this stage of tabulation.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
거래량
$860,570
종료일
2026.06.02
마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.

결과 제안됨: No

이의 없음

최종 결과: No

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass leads the June 2 nonpartisan primary for Los Angeles mayor while City Councilmember Nithya Raman has secured second place after overtaking Spencer Pratt in ongoing mail-ballot counts. With over 90 percent of votes tabulated, official projections from multiple outlets confirm Bass and Raman will advance to the November runoff. Raman's late surge in remaining ballots, driven by stronger performance among progressive and Democratic-leaning voters, established the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing. Late-arriving ballots or an unforeseen recount could theoretically alter the exact ordering, though historical patterns in California municipal elections make such reversals improbable at this stage of tabulation.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
거래량
$860,570
종료일
2026.06.02
마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.

결과 제안됨: No

이의 없음

최종 결과: No

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?"은 11개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 100%의 "Nithya Raman"이며, 이어서 0%의 "Karen Bass"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 100¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 100%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?"은 총 $860.6K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 May 14, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 11개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?"의 현재 유력 후보는 100%의 "Nithya Raman"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 100%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 0%의 "Karen Bass"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.