Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Lamar Jackson staying with the Baltimore Ravens at an 81.6% implied probability for "No" trade before next season, anchored by the team's March restructure that slashed his 2026 salary cap hit from $74.5 million to $34.5 million, freeing space without shopping their franchise quarterback. Jackson's no-trade clause adds a steep barrier, while his recent report to voluntary offseason workouts signals continuity amid ongoing extension discussions—Ravens brass expressing confidence despite a projected 2027 cap spike. Speculative ESPN analyst warnings of a potential deal-breaker lack substantiation against this commitment, recent cap maneuvering, and absence of injury reports or performance slumps eroding his MVP-caliber standing.