Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern anchors the MA-02 contest in a central Massachusetts district long defined by consistent Democratic majorities. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the September primaries and November general election. McGovern’s 2024 general-election margin exceeded 37 points, and fundraising and endorsements show no competitive Republican emerging to date. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Democratic nominee therefore tracks the district’s structural lean and the absence of recent developments that would alter its trajectory. A credible Republican primary winner or an unexpected national political shift could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability paths given current conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$37,382 거래량
$37,382 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
95%
공화당
6%
$37,382 거래량
$37,382 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$25,658 거래량
95%
공화당
$11,723 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern anchors the MA-02 contest in a central Massachusetts district long defined by consistent Democratic majorities. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the September primaries and November general election. McGovern’s 2024 general-election margin exceeded 37 points, and fundraising and endorsements show no competitive Republican emerging to date. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Democratic nominee therefore tracks the district’s structural lean and the absence of recent developments that would alter its trajectory. A credible Republican primary winner or an unexpected national political shift could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability paths given current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$37,382종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern anchors the MA-02 contest in a central Massachusetts district long defined by consistent Democratic majorities. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the September primaries and November general election. McGovern’s 2024 general-election margin exceeded 37 points, and fundraising and endorsements show no competitive Republican emerging to date. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Democratic nominee therefore tracks the district’s structural lean and the absence of recent developments that would alter its trajectory. A credible Republican primary winner or an unexpected national political shift could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability paths given current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$37,382종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern anchors the MA-02 contest in a central Massachusetts district long defined by consistent Democratic majorities. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the September primaries and November general election. McGovern’s 2024 general-election margin exceeded 37 points, and fundraising and endorsements show no competitive Republican emerging to date. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Democratic nominee therefore tracks the district’s structural lean and the absence of recent developments that would alter its trajectory. A credible Republican primary winner or an unexpected national political shift could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability paths given current conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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