French President Emmanuel Macron's second term constitutionally extends until May 2027, with no recent developments in the past 30 days signaling an early exit via resignation, no-confidence spillover to the presidency, or snap presidential election—mechanisms constitutionally unavailable absent incapacity or voluntary departure. Ongoing hung parliament instability from the 2024 snap legislative elections has toppled multiple minority governments through no-confidence votes, including several prime ministers by late 2025, fostering a lame-duck dynamic where Macron appoints successors amid fiscal pressures like budget passage. Trader consensus reflects this entrenched deadlock alongside Macron's focus on foreign policy catalysts, such as April diplomacy with Pope Leo XIV on global tensions, pushes for Iran-U.S. talks, and Strait of Hormuz conferences with the UK to ensure navigation freedom. Upcoming budget votes or coalition fractures could renew government volatility, but structural barriers maintain presidential tenure stability ahead of 2027 elections.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,903,553 거래량
2026.06.30
2026년 6월 30일
2%
$1,903,553 거래량
2026년 6월 30일
$311,708 거래량
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.French President Emmanuel Macron's second term constitutionally extends until May 2027, with no recent developments in the past 30 days signaling an early exit via resignation, no-confidence spillover to the presidency, or snap presidential election—mechanisms constitutionally unavailable absent incapacity or voluntary departure. Ongoing hung parliament instability from the 2024 snap legislative elections has toppled multiple minority governments through no-confidence votes, including several prime ministers by late 2025, fostering a lame-duck dynamic where Macron appoints successors amid fiscal pressures like budget passage. Trader consensus reflects this entrenched deadlock alongside Macron's focus on foreign policy catalysts, such as April diplomacy with Pope Leo XIV on global tensions, pushes for Iran-U.S. talks, and Strait of Hormuz conferences with the UK to ensure navigation freedom. Upcoming budget votes or coalition fractures could renew government volatility, but structural barriers maintain presidential tenure stability ahead of 2027 elections.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ET
거래량
$1,903,553종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.French President Emmanuel Macron's second term constitutionally extends until May 2027, with no recent developments in the past 30 days signaling an early exit via resignation, no-confidence spillover to the presidency, or snap presidential election—mechanisms constitutionally unavailable absent incapacity or voluntary departure. Ongoing hung parliament instability from the 2024 snap legislative elections has toppled multiple minority governments through no-confidence votes, including several prime ministers by late 2025, fostering a lame-duck dynamic where Macron appoints successors amid fiscal pressures like budget passage. Trader consensus reflects this entrenched deadlock alongside Macron's focus on foreign policy catalysts, such as April diplomacy with Pope Leo XIV on global tensions, pushes for Iran-U.S. talks, and Strait of Hormuz conferences with the UK to ensure navigation freedom. Upcoming budget votes or coalition fractures could renew government volatility, but structural barriers maintain presidential tenure stability ahead of 2027 elections.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$1,903,553종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...French President Emmanuel Macron's second term constitutionally extends until May 2027, with no recent developments in the past 30 days signaling an early exit via resignation, no-confidence spillover to the presidency, or snap presidential election—mechanisms constitutionally unavailable absent incapacity or voluntary departure. Ongoing hung parliament instability from the 2024 snap legislative elections has toppled multiple minority governments through no-confidence votes, including several prime ministers by late 2025, fostering a lame-duck dynamic where Macron appoints successors amid fiscal pressures like budget passage. Trader consensus reflects this entrenched deadlock alongside Macron's focus on foreign policy catalysts, such as April diplomacy with Pope Leo XIV on global tensions, pushes for Iran-U.S. talks, and Strait of Hormuz conferences with the UK to ensure navigation freedom. Upcoming budget votes or coalition fractures could renew government volatility, but structural barriers maintain presidential tenure stability ahead of 2027 elections.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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