Traders' strong 93.5% consensus on no major solar storm—defined as a G4 or higher geomagnetic storm on the NOAA scale—by April 30 stems from the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center's (SWPC) latest forecasts showing low solar activity persisting through late April. Early-month coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from April 1 triggered only G2-G3 disturbances, falling short of major thresholds, while current sunspot regions remain quiet with minimal flare potential amid Solar Cycle 25's post-peak decline. The 27-day outlook reinforces subdued 10.7 cm radio flux and negligible G3+ probabilities. A sudden X-class solar flare producing an Earth-directed CME could challenge this, though SWPC's daily updates and model ensembles suggest low near-term risk.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Major solar storm by April 30?
Major solar storm by April 30?
$12,448 거래량
$12,448 거래량
$12,448 거래량
$12,448 거래량
An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
마켓 개설일: Mar 16, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Traders' strong 93.5% consensus on no major solar storm—defined as a G4 or higher geomagnetic storm on the NOAA scale—by April 30 stems from the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center's (SWPC) latest forecasts showing low solar activity persisting through late April. Early-month coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from April 1 triggered only G2-G3 disturbances, falling short of major thresholds, while current sunspot regions remain quiet with minimal flare potential amid Solar Cycle 25's post-peak decline. The 27-day outlook reinforces subdued 10.7 cm radio flux and negligible G3+ probabilities. A sudden X-class solar flare producing an Earth-directed CME could challenge this, though SWPC's daily updates and model ensembles suggest low near-term risk.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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