Kyle Schwarber holds the top spot in the MLB home run race through early June 2026 with 23 long balls, fueling trader consensus around his 51.5% implied probability as the season leader. His power surge, including multiple 450-plus foot drives and consistent at-bats in the Phillies lineup, has created separation from the field. Yordan Alvarez sits second at 22 homers and trails closely in the market at 30.5% due to his elite exit velocities, .316 batting average, and AL-leading OPS, keeping him within striking distance over the remaining schedule. Names like Ben Rice and Rafael Devers occupy lower probabilities amid solid but less dominant early-season outputs, while the overall distribution reflects the unpredictable nature of sustained power production across 162 games.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Kyle Schwarber 52%
Yordan Alvarez 24.5%
Ben Rice 5.8%
Rafael Devers 4.6%
$30,647 거래량
$30,647 거래량
Kyle Schwarber
52%
Yordan Alvarez
25%
Ben Rice
6%
Rafael Devers
5%
Matt Olson
3%
James Wood
3%
Munetaka Murakami
2%
Shea Langeliers
2%
Aaron Judge
1%
Junior Caminero
1%
Shohei Ohtani
1%
Juan Soto
1%
Elly De La Cruz
1%
Nick Kurtz
<1%
Brandon Lowe
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
<1%
Kyle Schwarber 52%
Yordan Alvarez 24.5%
Ben Rice 5.8%
Rafael Devers 4.6%
$30,647 거래량
$30,647 거래량
Kyle Schwarber
52%
Yordan Alvarez
25%
Ben Rice
6%
Rafael Devers
5%
Matt Olson
3%
James Wood
3%
Munetaka Murakami
2%
Shea Langeliers
2%
Aaron Judge
1%
Junior Caminero
1%
Shohei Ohtani
1%
Juan Soto
1%
Elly De La Cruz
1%
Nick Kurtz
<1%
Brandon Lowe
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kyle Schwarber holds the top spot in the MLB home run race through early June 2026 with 23 long balls, fueling trader consensus around his 51.5% implied probability as the season leader. His power surge, including multiple 450-plus foot drives and consistent at-bats in the Phillies lineup, has created separation from the field. Yordan Alvarez sits second at 22 homers and trails closely in the market at 30.5% due to his elite exit velocities, .316 batting average, and AL-leading OPS, keeping him within striking distance over the remaining schedule. Names like Ben Rice and Rafael Devers occupy lower probabilities amid solid but less dominant early-season outputs, while the overall distribution reflects the unpredictable nature of sustained power production across 162 games.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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