Kyle Schwarber's MLB-leading 23 home runs through early June, including an early pace that made him the first to 20, has anchored trader consensus at 48.5% implied probability for the season-long title. Yordan Alvarez sits second with 21-22 homers, bolstered by a .316 average, elite OPS, and strong extra-base output that keeps his share at 31.4%. Ben Rice, Rafael Devers, Matt Olson, and James Wood trail further back in the power standings, with limited recent surges narrowing their paths. The long remaining schedule and typical variance in home-run rates sustain competitive positioning for the top two while capping longer-shot probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Kyle Schwarber 49%
Yordan Alvarez 31.4%
Ben Rice 5.7%
Rafael Devers 4.8%
$30,112 거래량
$30,112 거래량
2026.10.11
Kyle Schwarber
49%
Yordan Alvarez
31%
Ben Rice
6%
Rafael Devers
5%
Matt Olson
4%
James Wood
3%
Munetaka Murakami
2%
Shea Langeliers
2%
Aaron Judge
1%
Junior Caminero
1%
Shohei Ohtani
1%
Juan Soto
1%
Elly De La Cruz
1%
Nick Kurtz
<1%
Brandon Lowe
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
<1%
Kyle Schwarber 49%
Yordan Alvarez 31.4%
Ben Rice 5.7%
Rafael Devers 4.8%
$30,112 거래량
$30,112 거래량
2026.10.11
Kyle Schwarber
$5,810 거래량
49%
Yordan Alvarez
$3,162 거래량
31%
Ben Rice
$793 거래량
6%
Rafael Devers
$267 거래량
5%
Matt Olson
$1,326 거래량
4%
James Wood
$1,111 거래량
3%
Munetaka Murakami
$7,361 거래량
2%
Shea Langeliers
$955 거래량
2%
Aaron Judge
$3,997 거래량
1%
Junior Caminero
$740 거래량
1%
Shohei Ohtani
$518 거래량
1%
Juan Soto
$272 거래량
1%
Elly De La Cruz
$522 거래량
1%
Nick Kurtz
$280 거래량
<1%
Brandon Lowe
$257 거래량
<1%
Mike Trout
$256 거래량
<1%
CJ Abrams
$283 거래량
<1%
Cal Raleigh
$315 거래량
<1%
Sal Stewart
$283 거래량
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
$249 거래량
<1%
Pete Alonso
$361 거래량
<1%
Manny Machado
$284 거래량
<1%
Jordan Walker
$236 거래량
<1%
George Springer
$240 거래량
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
$236 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber's MLB-leading 23 home runs through early June, including an early pace that made him the first to 20, has anchored trader consensus at 48.5% implied probability for the season-long title. Yordan Alvarez sits second with 21-22 homers, bolstered by a .316 average, elite OPS, and strong extra-base output that keeps his share at 31.4%. Ben Rice, Rafael Devers, Matt Olson, and James Wood trail further back in the power standings, with limited recent surges narrowing their paths. The long remaining schedule and typical variance in home-run rates sustain competitive positioning for the top two while capping longer-shot probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
거래량
$30,112종료일
2026.09.28마켓 개설일
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber's MLB-leading 23 home runs through early June, including an early pace that made him the first to 20, has anchored trader consensus at 48.5% implied probability for the season-long title. Yordan Alvarez sits second with 21-22 homers, bolstered by a .316 average, elite OPS, and strong extra-base output that keeps his share at 31.4%. Ben Rice, Rafael Devers, Matt Olson, and James Wood trail further back in the power standings, with limited recent surges narrowing their paths. The long remaining schedule and typical variance in home-run rates sustain competitive positioning for the top two while capping longer-shot probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$30,112종료일
2026.09.28마켓 개설일
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kyle Schwarber's MLB-leading 23 home runs through early June, including an early pace that made him the first to 20, has anchored trader consensus at 48.5% implied probability for the season-long title. Yordan Alvarez sits second with 21-22 homers, bolstered by a .316 average, elite OPS, and strong extra-base output that keeps his share at 31.4%. Ben Rice, Rafael Devers, Matt Olson, and James Wood trail further back in the power standings, with limited recent surges narrowing their paths. The long remaining schedule and typical variance in home-run rates sustain competitive positioning for the top two while capping longer-shot probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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