**Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar's commanding 86% trader consensus in the Minnesota 5th Congressional District Democratic primary stems from her repeated comfortable victories in past primaries—including 75.8% against Manka Jois in 2024—and strong incumbency advantages in the deep-blue D+32 district, bolstered by loyal progressive and Somali-American voting blocs.** Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DFL state executive committee member and labor organizer who launched her centrist bid in November 2025, holds 14% implied probability amid positioning on local issues like safe communities and affordable housing, though other potential rivals have withdrawn. No public polls or major endorsements have emerged in the past 30 days to shift sentiment, with odds stable ahead of the August 11 primary; upcoming fundraising reports and early voting turnout could influence dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$16,702 거래량
$16,702 거래량
2026.08.11
일한 오마르
86%
라토냐 리브스
14%
$16,702 거래량
$16,702 거래량
2026.08.11
일한 오마르
$16,702 거래량
86%
라토냐 리브스
$0 거래량
14%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar's commanding 86% trader consensus in the Minnesota 5th Congressional District Democratic primary stems from her repeated comfortable victories in past primaries—including 75.8% against Manka Jois in 2024—and strong incumbency advantages in the deep-blue D+32 district, bolstered by loyal progressive and Somali-American voting blocs.** Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DFL state executive committee member and labor organizer who launched her centrist bid in November 2025, holds 14% implied probability amid positioning on local issues like safe communities and affordable housing, though other potential rivals have withdrawn. No public polls or major endorsements have emerged in the past 30 days to shift sentiment, with odds stable ahead of the August 11 primary; upcoming fundraising reports and early voting turnout could influence dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
거래량
$16,702종료일
2026.08.11마켓 개설일
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar's commanding 86% trader consensus in the Minnesota 5th Congressional District Democratic primary stems from her repeated comfortable victories in past primaries—including 75.8% against Manka Jois in 2024—and strong incumbency advantages in the deep-blue D+32 district, bolstered by loyal progressive and Somali-American voting blocs.** Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DFL state executive committee member and labor organizer who launched her centrist bid in November 2025, holds 14% implied probability amid positioning on local issues like safe communities and affordable housing, though other potential rivals have withdrawn. No public polls or major endorsements have emerged in the past 30 days to shift sentiment, with odds stable ahead of the August 11 primary; upcoming fundraising reports and early voting turnout could influence dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$16,702종료일
2026.08.11마켓 개설일
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar's commanding 86% trader consensus in the Minnesota 5th Congressional District Democratic primary stems from her repeated comfortable victories in past primaries—including 75.8% against Manka Jois in 2024—and strong incumbency advantages in the deep-blue D+32 district, bolstered by loyal progressive and Somali-American voting blocs.** Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DFL state executive committee member and labor organizer who launched her centrist bid in November 2025, holds 14% implied probability amid positioning on local issues like safe communities and affordable housing, though other potential rivals have withdrawn. No public polls or major endorsements have emerged in the past 30 days to shift sentiment, with odds stable ahead of the August 11 primary; upcoming fundraising reports and early voting turnout could influence dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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