Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as supreme leader in early March 2026 following his father Ali Khamenei's death in U.S.-Israeli strikes during the ongoing conflict. Reports indicate he sustained injuries in those attacks but survived by leaving a targeted compound minutes earlier, with Iranian officials confirming he remains in the country, directing military and diplomatic efforts from an undisclosed location amid heightened security measures. Public appearances have been absent, fueling speculation about his condition and regime continuity, while state media and officials have countered evacuation rumors. Traders assess risks tied to escalation in strikes, potential leadership transitions, or diplomatic developments that could prompt his departure before resolution dates.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,796,121 거래량
2026.06.30
6월 30일
1%
$1,796,121 거래량
6월 30일
$385,889 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as supreme leader in early March 2026 following his father Ali Khamenei's death in U.S.-Israeli strikes during the ongoing conflict. Reports indicate he sustained injuries in those attacks but survived by leaving a targeted compound minutes earlier, with Iranian officials confirming he remains in the country, directing military and diplomatic efforts from an undisclosed location amid heightened security measures. Public appearances have been absent, fueling speculation about his condition and regime continuity, while state media and officials have countered evacuation rumors. Traders assess risks tied to escalation in strikes, potential leadership transitions, or diplomatic developments that could prompt his departure before resolution dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
거래량
$1,796,121종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as supreme leader in early March 2026 following his father Ali Khamenei's death in U.S.-Israeli strikes during the ongoing conflict. Reports indicate he sustained injuries in those attacks but survived by leaving a targeted compound minutes earlier, with Iranian officials confirming he remains in the country, directing military and diplomatic efforts from an undisclosed location amid heightened security measures. Public appearances have been absent, fueling speculation about his condition and regime continuity, while state media and officials have countered evacuation rumors. Traders assess risks tied to escalation in strikes, potential leadership transitions, or diplomatic developments that could prompt his departure before resolution dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$1,796,121종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as supreme leader in early March 2026 following his father Ali Khamenei's death in U.S.-Israeli strikes during the ongoing conflict. Reports indicate he sustained injuries in those attacks but survived by leaving a targeted compound minutes earlier, with Iranian officials confirming he remains in the country, directing military and diplomatic efforts from an undisclosed location amid heightened security measures. Public appearances have been absent, fueling speculation about his condition and regime continuity, while state media and officials have countered evacuation rumors. Traders assess risks tied to escalation in strikes, potential leadership transitions, or diplomatic developments that could prompt his departure before resolution dates.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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